Today’s sample of Futures Analysis from

U.S. stock indices took a loss on Friday, driven lower by risk fears and profit-taking. Fear that the Greek financial problems may escalate over the week-end encouraged traders to lighten up positions in equities after a strong run-up. The stronger Dollar also pressured equities as traders took a little money off the top to reinvest into lower risk assets. Friday’s quadruple witching also contributed to the weakness and volatility.

Without any major economic reports on Monday, look for traders to turn to risk sentiment and the Dollar for direction.

June Treasury Bonds regained the old double-tops at 118’02 but had very little follow-through to the upside. Friday’s gains were most likely related to asset allocation plays between stocks and bonds. Earlier this morning, Thursday’s reversal top was confirmed but traders quickly bought the dip when stocks broke. This market is set up to move higher on Monday because there are no economic reports to stop the T-Bonds. Increased risk could break equities to the benefit of the T-Bonds.

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