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Thread: [Sharing] Discussion Forex Technical Analysis

  1. #11
    fx-investindo is offline Senior Member
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    Post GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook 2 Februari 2012




    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5707; (P) 1.5751; (R1) 1.5805;

    GBP/USD's rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday reaches as high as 1.5868 in early US session. As discussed before, the fall from 1.6746 might be finished at 1.5234 already. Further rise would be seen to 1.6165 key cluster resistance for confirmation (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 at 1.6168). On the downside, below 1.5706 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first before staging another rally.
    In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 are treated as consolidations to long term down trend from 2.1161. At this point, we're favoring the case that such consolidation is either finished with three waves to 1.6746, or five waves as a triangle at 1.6165. Deeper decline is in favor to 1.4229 key support and decisive break there should extend the long term down trend through 1.3503 low. Meanwhile, strong rebound ahead of 1.4229, or a break of 1.6165, will dampen the immediate bearish view and extend the consolidation from 1.3503 instead.

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  2. #12
    positivelypowerful is offline Junior Member
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  3. #13
    lifejhon is offline Junior Member
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    With the current rate of ninety five percent of forex traders failing, you will need all the help that you can get. There is nothing wrong with taking the advice of others, but you should use your own common sense as well. Forums are not necessarily filled with successful traders and the advice that they are giving might not be appropriate for your situation. Take the advice with a grain of salt and include your own research and education with it to make the best decisions about your trading business.
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  4. #14
    fx-investindo is offline Senior Member
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    EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook 7 Februari 2012

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3085; (P) 1.3145 (R1) 1.3224;

    EUR/USD dips back to 1.3030 so far today but is staying in tight range. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4246 to 1.2625 at 1.3244 will resume the rebound from 1.2625 and target 61.8% retracement at 1.3627. On the downside, break of 1.2931 minor support will suggest that corrective rise from 1.2625 was already finished and the larger decline from 1.4939 is likely resuming for a new low below 1.2625.

    In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6039 are unfolding as a consolidation pattern in the long term and is in progress. Fall from 1.4939 is a falling leg inside the pattern. It's hard to anticipate the length of a leg of any complex corrective pattern. Also, price actions would likely remain choppy and indecisive with misleading momentum indicator readings. But after all, overall picture still favors deeper fall to 1.1875 support before the consolidation pattern completes. Though, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.3637) will pave the way for a test on 1.4939 resistance level.




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  5. #15
    fx-investindo is offline Senior Member
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    Post GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook 7 Februari 2012





    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5759; (P) 1.5809; (R1) 1.5869;

    GBP/USD dips further to 1.5729 so far today as consolidation from 1.5882 temporary top extends. More corrective trading would be seen. But again. near term outlook remains cautiously bullish with 1.5641 cluster support intact (38.2% retracement of 1.5234 to 1.5882). Above 1.5882 will target a test on 1.6165 key cluster resistance (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 at 1.6168). Break will confirm that whole decline from 1.6746 has finished at 1.5234 already. On the downside, below 1.5641 support flip bias back to the downside for 1.5234 support instead.

    In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 are treated as consolidations to long term down trend from 2.1161. At this point, we're favoring the case that such consolidation is either finished with three waves to 1.6746, or five waves as a triangle at 1.6165. Deeper decline is in favor to 1.4229 key support and decisive break there should extend the long term down trend through 1.3503 low. Meanwhile, strong rebound ahead of 1.4229, or a break of 1.6165, will dampen the immediate bearish view and extend the consolidation from 1.3503 instead.

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  6. #16
    fx-investindo is offline Senior Member
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    GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook 8 Februari 2012

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5759; (P) 1.5809; (R1) 1.5869;

    GBP / USD bullish with price support at 1.5641 (38.2% retracement of 1.5234 to 1.5882). Above the price of 1.5882 will target 1.6165 resistance tests on the price (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 at 1.6168). Breakdown of the price would confirm that the overall decline in the price of 1.6746 to 1.5234 over the price already. On the reverse side, below 1.5641 indicates the price will go back to the downside for 1.5234 support prices.





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  7. #17
    fx-investindo is offline Senior Member
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    Post EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook 8 Februari 2012

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3058; (P) 1.3100 (R1) 1.3172;

    Breakdown of the 38.2% retracement of 1.4246 to 1.2625 at 1.3244 price will continue to rebound from a target price of 1.2625 and 61.8% retracement at 1.3627 price. Daily biased upward trend. On the other hand, breakdown of the price of 1.2931 support will indicate that corrective rise from 1.2625 has completed and the price decline is greater than the price of 1.4939 is likely to continue for the price is below 1.2625. 1.2625.




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  8. #18
    fx-investindo is offline Senior Member
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    EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook 10 February 2012

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3224; (P) 1.3256 (R1) 1.3291;

    Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside with 1.3214 minor support intact. Current rise from 1.2625 is expected to continue towards 61.8% retracement of 1.4246 to 1.2625 at 1.3627. On the downside, below 1.3214 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But break of 1.3028 support is needed to signal completion of such rebound. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain mildly bullish even in case of retreat.




    GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook 10 February 2012

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5765; (P) 1.5847; (R1) 1.5896;


    Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment and more consolidation could be seen below 1.5928 temporary top. But near term outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 1.5729 support holds. Above 1.5928 will target 1.6165 key cluster resistance (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 at 1.6168). Break will confirm that whole decline from 1.6746 has finished at 1.5234 already.




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  9. #19
    fx-investindo is offline Senior Member
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    EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook 15 Februari 2012
    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3153; (P) 1.3218 (R1) 1.3252;


    Bias Daily EUR / USD remains neutral (side way) for the current price with a focus on 1.3028 support. As noted earlier, in the short term there is an upper limit on the price of 1.3321 with bearish divergence conditions in H4 MACD. Through the settlement price of 1.3028 will indicate rebound from 1.2625 and retest the price back to this price, while continuing overall decline of 1.4939 with a target price below the price of 1.2625. On the contrary, in the price of 1.3321 would extend the rebound from 1.2625 with a target price of 61.8% retracement of 1.4246 to 1.2625 which is in the price of 1.3627.



    GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook 15 Februari 2012
    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5740; (P) 1.5783; (R1) 1.5808;


    Bias Daily GBP / USD remains the downside with 1.5826 as resistance rates. In the short term rates are still below 1.5928 with bearish divergence condition H4 MACD and the overall rebound from 1.5234 might be completed by the price already. GBP / USD is still not able to penetrate / continuous below 1.6165 resistance rates (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 which is in the price of 1.6168). Thus, the overall decline from 1.6746 likelihood prices will continue. Further decline is to retest the 1.5234 price. On the contrary, above 1.5826 will change the price of a neutral bias (side way) and change the focus back to the 1.5928 price as the price of further resistance.



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  10. #20
    fx-investindo is offline Senior Member
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    EUR / USD Mid-Day Outlook February 17, 2012

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3010; (P) 1.3100 (R1) 1.3157;

    As discussed before, rebound from 1.2625 should have completed pricing on the price of 1.3321 with bearish divergence conditions in H4 MACD. Further decline is expected to price 1.2625. On the contrary, above 1.3190 will reduce the price of a bearish view and change the bias back to the upside for the price of 1.3321 as the next resistance price.



    GBP / USD Mid-Day Outlook February 17, 2012

    Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5663; (P) 1.5699; (R1) 1.5729;

    GBP / USD 's indicate that the lower limit while the form on the daily price of 1.5643 and bias from neutral / side way. At this time, we indicated prices rebound from 1.5234 has completed at a price of 1.5928 with bearish divergence conditions in H4 MACD. Below 1.5643 would bring the price drop back to 1.5234 support prices. Nevertheless, above 1.5826 will reduce prices and bearish bias for the upside return to the top of the price of 1.5928. In the meantime, we will continue to emphasize that for the price of 1.6165 (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 which is in the price of 1.6168) has not been touched, the overall decline from 1.6746 likelihood prices will continue.



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