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  1. #11
    rohit is offline Member
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    Daily technical outlook for EURUSD as at 5th April 2012
    Trend
    The prevailing Daily trend is long.

    Warning
    Price action has just put in a lower high. A breach of the 15th March swing low will confirm a new down trend. Possible head and shoulders pattern is forming. The alligator is now mixed.

    Overview
    The daily chart has been in an uptrend defined by EURUSD putting in a series of higher highs and higher lows since the breach of the 21st December swing high. However the pair has just put in a lower swing high which is a warning sign of a possible reversion to the previous multi month down trend. The price action is now broken the top of its regression channel.
    The stochastic has breached the overbought area and now rolled down into its higher neutral range
    The Alligator indicator is mixed. The next two to three periods will clarify its bias.

    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 113 pips. This implies that EURUSD could potentially trade between 1.3028 and 1.3254.
    Long scenario
    Conservative long above 1.3380 being the last daily fractal high.
    Aggressive long at the 1.3145 area off a lower time frame being support and 15th March to 27th March Fibonacci.

    Short scenario
    Conservative short. The 1.3251 short set up as mentioned in a previous post is in play with projected targets being the envelope and Fibonacci extension.
    Aggressive short is neutral.

    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-123/






    Daily technical outlook for GBPUSD as at 5th April 2012
    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is long. The price action has made a higher high.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in an uptrend defined by GBPUSD putting in a series of higher highs and higher lowers since the breach of the 21st December swing high with the 12th March low being seen as a fake break down.
    The stochastic breached the overbought area and has now rolled over into the higher neutral zone.
    The price action has now hit the top off the envelope which may provide resistance to any further upward momentum for the time being.
    The Alligator indicator is bullish with any pull back into the deferred moving averages being a buying opportunity in lower time frames.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 108 pips. This implies that GBPUSD could potentially trade between 1.5781 and 1.5997.
    Long scenario
    Conservative scenario long above 1.6062 being the last daily fractal high.
    Aggressive long wait for a pull back into the deferred MA’s and identify entry off a lower time frame.
    Short scenario
    Conservative short, trade beneath 1.5770 being the last daily fractal
    Aggressive short neutral.
    Notes
    Shorts are counter to the prevailing trend.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-123/






    Daily technical outlook forUSDJPY as at 5th April 2012
    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is long.
    Overview
    The daily chart as defined by a normalized swing count has been choppy for some time prior to this pairs bullish break out with the breach of the 9th September swing high being a warning sign of a potential trend reversal.
    The stochastic has breached the overbought value as is now neutral but heading towards its oversold area.
    The Alligator indicator is bullish. This may be seen as a buying opportunity in a lower time frame.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 0.8979. This implies that USDJPY could potentially trade between 81.5521 and 83.3479.
    Long scenario
    Conservative long above 83.29 being the last daily fractal high.
    Aggressive long wait for a pull back into the deferred MA’s and identify entry off a lower time frame.
    Short scenario
    Conservative short beneath 81.55 being the 3rd April low.
    Aggressive short, neutral.
    Notes
    Shorts are counter to the prevailing trend.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-123/





    Daily technical outlook for USDCHF as at 5th April 2012

    Trend
    The prevailing Daily trend is short
    Warning
    A potential higher low may be forming.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in a downtrend defined by USDCHF putting in a series of lower highs and lower lows since the breach of the 21st December swing low. However the 15th March swing high breach could be a warning sign that this short down trend is nothing more than a bullish continuation pattern.
    The stochastic has breached the oversold area and is now curling upwards into the lower area of the neutral zone. This could be a sign that the indicator is now confirming the higher low in the price action.
    The Alligator indicator is mixed.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 77 pips. This implies that USDCHF could potentially trade between 0.9081 and 0.9235.
    Long scenario
    Conservative long above 0.9093 is in play. Please see chart for targets.
    Aggressive neutral.
    Short scenario
    Conservative scenario below 9001 being the last daily fractal low.
    Aggressive short wait for a pull back into the deferred MA’s so as to identify an entry off a lower time frame.


    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-123/

  2. #12
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    Hi, there, you mean is that there are some changes in the near future, and I could buy more USD, am I right?

  3. #13
    rohit is offline Member
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    Currencies
    EUR/USD The U.S. dollar dropped against other major currencies on Friday after government data triggered worries about the health of the U.S. labor market and the economic recovery.
    The decline for the dollar came after the Labor Department reported that the U.S. economy added 120,000 jobs in March. In contrast, economists had expected a gain of 210,000 jobs
    USD/CAD The U.S. dollar ended the week moderately higher against its Canadian counterpart on Friday, but USD remained under pressure amid fresh expectations of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve while lower oil prices weighed on the CAD.
    In Canada, data showed that the number of employed people in Canada rose by a seasonally adjusted 82,300 in March, blowing past expectations for an increase of 10,000.
    http://blog.acfx.com/


    Commodities
    Oil fell for the 3rd time in four days after Iran agreed to resume talks on its nuclear program and economic reports in the U.S. and China raised concern about fuel demand.
    Oil for May delivery declined as much as $1.44 to $101.87 a barrel in electronic trading on the NYMEX and was at $102.05 at 11:37 a.m. Singapore time. The contract closed at $103.31 on April 5. Prices have gained 3.3 % this year.
    Brent Crude for May settlement slid or 0.9 percent to $122.36 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The premium of the European benchmark to New York futures was at $20.34, the widest gap in 3 days. Markets were closed in New York and London on April 6 for public holidays.
    GOLD prices in London rose for a second straight day after U.S. employers added fewer than jobs than forecast, boosting prospects for the Federal Reserve to use additional stimulus measures to spur growth.
    Gold has surged 86 percent since the end of 2008 as the Federal Reserve held borrowing costs at a record low and bought $2.3 trillion in housing and government debt.
    http://blog.acfx.com/




    Equities
    Asian stocks dropped for a fourth day as data on job creation in the world’s biggest economy trailed estimates. The loss is considered as the longest losing streak on the regional benchmark since November, as a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report cast doubt on the strength of the recovery in the world’s biggest economy
    Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average had a weekly biggest decline since December 13th as markets we shut upon holidays.
    European stocks fell for a third week, the longest losing streak since August, as Spain’s rising borrowing costs boosted concern the euro-area has yet to contain its debt crisis, and the US Federal Reserve damped expectations for further monetary stimulus.
    European stocks decline as well as the ECB disbursed 1 trillion euros ($1.27 trillion) in three-year loans to the region’s financial institutions and US economic reports beat estimates.
    The Stoxx Europe 600 index closed down 1.6% at 259.07.
    The U.K.’s FTSE 100 index has risen +0.35% reaching level of 5,724.
    U.S stocks futures and the dollar slumped Friday, while Treasury prices surged after government data delivered an unwelcome surprise on a day when most markets were closed: Only 120,000 jobs were created in March, well below market expectations.
    The Dow Jones declined an -0.11% reaching the level of 13,060.14.
    S&P 500 declined a -0.06%, reaching the level of 1,398.08.
    http://blog.acfx.com/

  4. #14
    rohit is offline Member
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    Eur/usd Analysis by acfx.com
    Trend
    The prevailing Daily trend is long.
    Warning
    Price action has put in a lower high. A breach of the 15th March swing low will confirm a new down trend. Possible head and shoulders pattern is forming. The alligator indicator has turned negative.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in an uptrend defined by EURUSD putting in a series of higher highs and higher lows since the breach of the 21st December swing high. However the pair has just put in a lower swing high which is a warning sign of a possible reversion to the previous multi month down trend. The price action is now broken the top of its regression channel.
    The stochastic has breached the oversold area.
    The Alligator indicator has a short bias. The preferred strategy is to sell pullbacks into the deferred MA’s.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 109 pips. This implies that EURUSD could potentially trade between 1.2996 and 1.3214.
    Long scenario
     Conservative long above 1.3380 being the last daily fractal high.
     Aggressive long into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame.
    Short scenario
     Conservative short. The 1.3251 short set up as mentioned in a previous post is in play with projected targets being the envelope and Fibonacci extension.
     Aggressive short is neutral.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-124/






    GBP/USD Analysis by acfx.com
    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is long. The price action has made a higher high.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in an uptrend defined by GBPUSD putting in a series of higher highs and higher lowers since the breach of the 21st December swing high with the 12th March low being seen as a fake break down.
    The stochastic is in the lower levels of its neutral zone.
    The price action rebounded off the top of its envelope. A further test of the envelope cannot be ruled out.
    The Alligator indicator is bullish with any pull back into the deferred moving averages being a buying opportunity in lower time frames.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 103 pips. This implies that GBPUSD could potentially trade between 1.5879 and 1.6085.
    Long scenario
     Conservative scenario long above 1.6062 being the last daily fractal high.
     Aggressive long wait for a pull back into the deferred MA’s and identify entry off a lower time frame.
    Short scenario
     Conservative short, trade beneath 1.5804 being the last daily fractal.
     Aggressive short neutral.
    Notes
    Shorts are counter to the prevailing trend.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-124/




    USD/JPY Analysis by acfx.com

    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is long.
    Warning
    Alligator is mixed. A small head and shoulders pattern may be forming marked by the X sign.
    Overview
    The daily chart as defined by a normalized swing count has been choppy for some time prior to this pairs bullish break out with the breach of the 9th September swing high being a warning sign of a potential trend reversal.
    The stochastic has breached the oversold value.
    The Alligator indicator is mixed.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 0.9379. This implies that USDJPY could potentially trade between 80.5421 and 82.4179.
    Long scenario
     Conservative long above 83.29 being the last daily fractal high.
     Aggressive long wait for a pull back into the deferred MA’s and identify entry off a lower time frame.
    Short scenario
     Conservative short beneath 81.55 being the 3rd April low is in play. Please see chart for target.
     Aggressive short, neutral.
    Notes
    Shorts are counter to the prevailing trend.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-124/

    USD/JPY Analysis by acfx.com
    Trend
    The prevailing Daily trend is short
    Warning
    A potential higher low may be forming. The Alligator has turned bullish.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in a downtrend defined by USDCHF putting in a series of lower highs and lower lows since the breach of the 21st December swing low. However the 15th March swing high breach could be a warning sign that this short down trend is nothing more than a bullish continuation pattern. The subsequent potential higher lower of the 2nd April is a further sign that this bullish scenario may about to be played out.
    The stochastic is in the upper regions of its neutral zone.
    The Alligator indicator is bullish.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 73 pips. This implies that USDCHF could potentially trade between 0.9098 and 0.9244.
    Long scenario
     Conservative long above 0.9093 is in play. Additional longs above 0.9222 being the last daily fractal high. Please see chart for targets.
     Aggressive scenario, buy pullbacks into the deferred MA’s off lower time frames.
    Short scenario
     Conservative scenario below 9001 being the last daily fractal low.
     Aggressive short into the deferred MA’s off lower time frames.

    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-124/

  5. #15
    rohit is offline Member
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    EUR /USD Technical analysis by acfx 11/04/2012

    Trend
    The prevailing Daily trend is long.
    Warning
    Price action has put in a lower high. A breach of the 15th March swing low will confirm a new down trend. Possible head and shoulders pattern is forming. The alligator indicator has turned negative.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in an uptrend defined by EURUSD putting in a series of higher highs and higher lows since the breach of the 21st December swing high. However the pair has just put in a lower swing high which is a warning sign of a possible reversion to the previous multi month down trend. The price action is now broken back into the top of its regression channel.
    The stochastic has breached the oversold area.
    The Alligator indicator has a short bias. The preferred strategy is to sell pullbacks into the deferred MA’s.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 108 pips. This implies that EURUSD could potentially trade between 1.2973 and 1.3189.
    Long scenario
    Conservative long above 1.3380 being the last daily fractal high.
    Aggressive long into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame.
    Short scenario
    Conservative short. The 1.3251 short set up as mentioned in a previous post is in play with projected targets being the envelope and Fibonacci extension. Add shorts beneath 1.3032 being the last daily down fractal.
    Aggressive short off a pull back into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-125/



    GBP/USD Technical analysis by acfx 11/04/2012
    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is long. The price action has made a higher high.
    Warning
    The Alligator is turning neutral.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in an uptrend defined by GBPUSD putting in a series of higher highs and higher lowers since the breach of the 21st December swing high with the 12th March low being seen as a fake break down.
    The stochastic is in the lower levels of its neutral zone.
    The price action rebounded off the top of its envelope. A further test of the envelope cannot be ruled out.
    The Alligator indicator is turning neutral. As the trend is up, this presents a possible buy zone off a lower time frame.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 104 pips. This implies that GBPUSD could potentially trade between 1.5758 and 1.5966.
    Long scenario
    Conservative scenario long above 1.6062 being the last daily fractal high.
    Aggressive long wait for a pull back into the deferred MA’s and identify entry off a lower time frame.
    Short scenario
    Conservative short, trade beneath 1.5804 being the last daily fractal.
    Aggressive short neutral.
    Notes
    Shorts are counter to the prevailing trend.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-125/

  6. #16
    rohit is offline Member
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    Eur/Usd technical analysis by acfx

    19/04/2012

    Trend
    The prevailing Daily trend is short.
    Warning
    On the 12th April Price action has put in a potential lower high (PLH) in what seems to be a developing Head and shoulders pattern. The EURUSD has since breached the lows of the 9th April higher low (HL). Trading beneath the 9th April lows will further confirm the down trend. The alligator indicator continues to be negative.
    Overview
    The daily chart had been in an uptrend defined by EURUSD putting in a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) since the breach of the 21st December swing high. However the pair has just put in a lower swing high (SH) followed by a swing low (SL) breach which is sufficient information to deduce that EURUSD has reverted to the previous multi month down trend. The price action is now hugging the top of its regression channel.

    Follow the link to read the whole analysis
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analysis/daily-technical-analysis-127/











    GBP/USD Technical Analysis by Acfx
    19/04/2012
    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is long. The price action has made a higher high (HH).
    Warning
    Price extended from the deferred MA’s.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in an uptrend defined by GBPUSD putting in a series of higher highs and higher lowers since the breach of the 21st December swing high with the 12th March low being seen as a fake break down.

    The stochastic is in the lower levels of its neutral zone.

    The price action rebounded off the top of its envelope. A further test of the envelope cannot be ruled out.

    The Alligator indicator is bullish. As the trend is up, the preferred strategy is to purchase any pull backs into the deferred MA’s.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analysis/daily-technical-analysis-127/

  7. #17
    rohit is offline Member
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    EuR/USD

    Trend
    The prevailing Daily trend is short.

    Warning
    The 9th April Higher Low (HL) and 12th April Potential Lower High (PLH) proved to be market noise. The 27th March Lower High (LH) and the 16th April Lower Low (LL) is indicative for further downward movement. The price action has however broken it down channel.

    Overview
    The daily chart had been in an uptrend defined by EURUSD putting in a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) since the breach of the 21st December swing high. However the pair has just put in a lower swing high (SH) followed by a lower swing low (SL) breach which is sufficient information to deduce that EURUSD has reverted to the previous multi month down trend. The price has broken it’s down trend channel. How the swings play out over the next few days will give us further guidance on for broader market bias.

    The stochastic is in the mid level of its neutral area.

    The Alligator indicator is turning from a short to a neutral bias. The preferred strategy is to sell pullbacks into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame.

    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 108 pips. This implies that EURUSD could potentially trade between 1.3110 and 1.3326.

    Long scenario

    Conservative long above 1.3212 being the last daily fractal high is in play.
    Aggressive long neutral.
    Short scenario

    Conservative short beneath 1.2994 being the last daily fractal low.
    Aggressive short off a pull back into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame.

    to know about other currencies visit the link:

    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-129/

  8. #18
    bestonclickbank is offline Junior Member
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    Get the best Automated and easy to use trading software here http://FOREx.bestonclickbank.com/

  9. #19
    rohit is offline Member
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    EUR/USD

    Trend
    The prevailing Daily trend is short.
    Warning
    We are awaiting for Lower High confirmation. Not much to report.
    The 9th April Higher Low (HL) and 12th April Potential Lower High (PLH) proved to be market noise. The 27th March Lower High (LH) and the 16th April Lower Low (LL) is indicative for further downward movement. The price action has however broken it’s down channel.
    Overview
    The daily chart had been in an uptrend defined by EURUSD putting in a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) since the breach of the 21st December swing high. However the pair has just put in a lower swing high (SH) followed by a lower swing low (SL) breach which is sufficient information to deduce that EURUSD has reverted to the previous multi month down trend. The price has broken it’s down trend channel. How the swings play out over the next few days will give us further guidance on for broader market bias.
    The stochastic is in the mid level of its neutral area.
    The Alligator indicator is turning from a short to a neutral bias. The preferred strategy is to sell pullbacks into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 105 pips. This implies that EURUSD could potentially trade between 1.3051 and 1.3261.
    Long scenario
     REVISED ENTRY. Conservative long above 1.3226 being the last daily fractal high is in play.
     Aggressive long neutral.
    Short scenario
     Conservative short beneath 1.2994 being the last daily fractal low.
     Aggressive short off a pull back into the deferred MA’s off a lower time frame.

    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-130/


    USD/JPY
    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is long.
    Warning
    The Alligator has turned negative. As per a previous posting a small head and shoulders formed marked by the X signs. The projected target was reached. A potential Lower High is forming.
    Overview
    The daily chart as defined by a normalized swing count has been choppy for some time prior to this pairs bullish break out with the breach of the 9th September swing high being a warning sign of a potential trend reversal. The subsequent retracement came close to the 50% Fibonacci level. A have a potential lower high forming. A breach of the 16th April lows can be viewed as a downside reversion.
    The stochastic had breached the oversold value and has turned up into the lower levels of its neutral zone.
    The Alligator indicator has turned negative.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 0.6657. This implies that USDJPY could potentially trade between 80.5043and 81.8357.
    Long scenario
     Conservative long above 81.19 being the last daily fractal high is in play. New long above 81.77.
     Aggressive long neutral into the deferred MA’s off as lower time frame.
    Short scenario
     Conservative short beneath 80.29 being the last daily fractal low.
     An aggressive short, short pullback into the deferred MA’s in lower time frames.

    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-130/
    USD/CHF
    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is neutral.
    Warning
    A potential higher low may be forming. The Alligator has turned neutral from bullish.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in a downtrend defined by USDCHF putting in a series of lower highs and lower lows since the breach of the 21st December swing low. However the 15th March swing high breach could be a warning sign that this short down trend is nothing more than a bullish continuation pattern. The subsequent higher lower of the 2nd April was followed by false swings on the 5th April and 12th April.
    The stochastic is in the upper regions of its neutral zone.
    The Alligator indicator has turned neutral from bullish.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 75 pips. This implies that USDCHF could potentially trade between 0.9059 and 0.9209.
    Long scenario
     Conservative long above 0.9251 being the last daily fractal high.
     Aggressive long buy pullbacks into the deferred MA’s off lower time frames.
    Short scenario
     As per a previous posting, a conservative short below 9091 is in play. New short beneath 0.9082 being the last daily fractal.
     Aggressive short neutral.

    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-130/



    GBP/USD
    Trends
    The prevailing Daily trend is long. The price action has made a higher high (HH).
    Warning
    Price extended from the deferred MA’s and close to a previous potential target. There is nothing new to report.
    Overview
    The daily chart has been in an uptrend defined by GBPUSD putting in a series of higher highs and higher lowers since the breach of the 21st December swing high with the 12th March low being seen as a fake break down.
    The stochastic has breached its overbought area. There is a possible negative divergence setting up.
    As per a previous post, the price action retested the top of its envelope.
    The Alligator indicator is bullish. As the trend is up, the preferred strategy is to purchase any pull backs into the deferred MA’s.
    Possible range
    The daily range based upon the most recent Average True Range readings is 95 pips. This implies that GBPUSD could potentially trade between 1.6036 and 1.6226.
    Long scenario
     Conservative scenario. Long above 1.6149 being the last daily fractal high.
     Aggressive long wait for a pull back into the deferred MA’s and identify entry off a lower time frame.
    Short scenario
     Conservative short, trade beneath 1.5818 being the last daily fractal.
     Aggressive short into the deferred MA’s.
    http://blog.acfx.com/technical-analy...-analysis-130/

  10. #20
    rohit is offline Member
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    Technical outlook

    • EUR/USD falls, as weekend’s G8 meeting left Germany and its strict stance on cutting debt first looking isolated as the tide turns on boosting growth. Whilst many watched with baited breath the G8 Summit has produced no exciting headlines and has turned out to be rather anticlimactic. While it is not a real surprise, the deterioration of the Euro zone debt crisis appears not to have disturbed the calmness surrounding these meetings, which continue to show an alarming lack of urgency surrounding the Euro-zone situation. This week on Wednesday EU Leaders will meet and Germany will take centre-stage as the country is expected to be asked to slightly ease austerity around peripheral economies in Europe, and rethink its strategy around the notion of ‘growth’.

    http://blog.acfx.com/

    Technical outlook

    • USD/CAD The Canadian dollar continued retreating against the soaring greenback, as European fears helped the USD and pushed oil prices lower. Retail sales are the highlight of this week. Canadian manufacturing sales soared in March amid an unexpected 1.9% boost in sales following a 0.2% contraction in February pulling the economy back on a growth track. This rebound came amid a rise in petroleum and coal products. With a strong labor market and a recovering manufacturing sector Canada has a lot to look forward to.
    http://blog.acfx.com/

    Technical outlook

    • AUD/USD The Australian dollar continues to tumble, and has now dropped almost 6 six cents in the month of May. For anyone who loves extreme volatility in the markets, there’s no need to look elsewhere. Given the turbulence an uncertainty in Europe, investors will be favoring safe haven currencies, which spells more trouble for the free-falling aussie.
    http://blog.acfx.com/

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