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Thread: Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX

  1. #1
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Default Daily Technical Analysis from ACFX

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 16thJanuary 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1.3195 1.3080
    Target 1 : 1.3400
    Target 2 : 1.3385
    Stop : < 1.2995




    Comments
    There has been a sufficient pull back to allow us to post the next possible Fibonacci support range. As previously mentioned the 8 period moving average may offer some initial support.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend

    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 16th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1.6105 1.5945
    Target 1 : 1.6385
    Target 2 : 1.6620
    Stop : <1.5825



    Comments
    GBPUSD continues to trade around Fibonacci support with the previous 3 sessions trading within the range of the 10th January candle. We are monitoring for a possible move to Target 1.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 16th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : 1660 1680
    Target 1 : 1625
    Target 2 : 1590
    Stop : >1695



    Comments
    This morning, Gold has open positively and is now trading above upper Fibonacci resistance level. Although the bias based upon the strategy remains negative our eye is drawn to a possible breach of the prior Lower High as this may indicate a termination or pause of this down trend.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 16th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 89.55 87.00
    Target 1 : 93.80
    Target 2 : 100.40
    Stop : <85.20



    Comments
    The downward sloping trend line continues to offer strong resistance. We continue to monitor the price action for a possible attempt to once again breach this resistance or alternatively for oil to pull back in the direction of Fibonacci support.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend
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  2. #2
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 17thJanuary 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend Long
    Ambush Zone 1.3195 – 1.3080
    Target 1 1.3400
    Target 2 1.3385
    Stop <1.2995



    Comments
    There has been a sufficient pull back to allow us to post the next possible Fibonacci support range. As previously mentioned the 8 period moving average may offer some initial support.

    Definitions
    HH Higher High
    HL Higher Low
    LL Lower Low
    LH Lower High
    CofT Change of Trend

    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 17th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend Long
    Ambush Zone 1.6105 – 1.5945
    Target 1 1.6385
    Target 2 1.6620
    Stop <1.5825



    Comments
    GBPUSD continues to trade around Fibonacci support with the previous 3 sessions trading within the range of the 10th January candle. We are monitoring for a possible move to Target 1.

    Definitions
    HH Higher High
    HL Higher Low
    LL Lower Low
    LH Lower High
    CofT Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 17th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend -
    Ambush Zone -
    Target 1 -
    Target 2 -
    Stop -



    Comments
    Yesterday we saw a powerful move through the downward sloping trend line that was offering resistance. We have yet to see a 3 bar swing reversal which would change the bias to the long side however we have HH and HL Micro Swing pivots which combined with the trend line break points to a possible trend reversal or pause. For the shorts to stay in control, a down move needs to break the down trend line with conviction and then at least take out MS isolated low.

    Definitions
    HH Higher High
    HL Higher Low
    LL Lower Low
    LH Lower High
    CofT Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 17th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend Long
    Ambush Zone 88.65 – 83.40
    Target 1 89.70
    Target 2 92.90
    Stop <81.65



    Comments
    Yesterday’s close beneath the low of the prior isolated HH together with today’s negative open has allowed us to post a possible scenario. Our bias is long but with a preference to participate in the market in or around Fibonacci support.

    Definitions
    HH Higher High
    HL Higher Low
    LL Lower Low
    LH Lower High
    CofT Change of Trend

  3. #3
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 21st January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1.3195 – 1.3080
    Target 1 : 1.3400
    Target 2 : 1.3385
    Stop : < 1.2995



    Comments
    After reaching Target 1, EURUSD has been trading between the last swing high and the 8 period moving averages. A move back to Fibonacci support may offer the possibility of participating once again on the long side however an upward break from these levels can also not be ruled out.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 21st January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Last Wednesday’s HL breach carried on through to Friday. Technically the Swing Strategy is bearish. However GBPUSD is now trading around the area of previous resistance which may now offer some support. We are monitoring the possibility of a bounce from these levels. At the moment, it is probably too early in the move to post possible Fibonacci resistance sell zones.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 21st January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Thursdays move above the previous swing high would indicate that the long bias will now dominate directional price momentum. The swing strategy bias has taken account of this change in sentiment. At the moment we have not posted a new trade set up for longs as it is possible too early in the current move.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 21st January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 89.55 – 87.00
    Target 1 : 93.80
    Target 2 : 100.40
    Stop : <85.20



    Comments
    Friday’s action was muted with Oil closing lower after initially putting in marginal new highs in what was by comparison a very tight range. This price action may indicate the possibility of Oil moving back to the 8 period moving average or trend line support.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend

  4. #4
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 22nd January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1.3195 – 1.3080
    Target 1 : 1.3400
    Target 2 : 1.3385
    Stop : < 1.2995



    Comments
    As posted yesterday, “after reaching Target 1, EURUSD has been trading between the last swing high and the 8 period moving averages. A move back to Fibonacci support may offer the possibility of participating once again on the long side however an upward break from these levels can also not be ruled out.”

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 22nd January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    Yesterday’s price action managed to breach the 15th November lows. This price action has created a lower low on the Weekly time frame. At the moment, it is probably too early in the move to post a possible Fibonacci resistance sell zone area.

    Definitions

    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 22nd January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    As posted yesterday, “Thursdays move above the previous swing high would indicate that the long bias will now dominate directional price momentum. The swing strategy bias has taken account of this change in sentiment. At the moment we have not posted a new trade set up for longs as it is possible too early in the current move.”

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 22nd January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    After the previous two days muted price action Oil is this morning trading higher. We continue to monitor the price action for an opportunity to participate in this up move.

    Definitions

    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend

  5. #5
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 24th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1.3195 – 1.3080
    Target 1 : 1.3400
    Target 2 : 1.3385
    Stop : < 1.2995



    Comments
    EURUSD has experienced 3 days of indecision which can be seen by the doji candles. Today’s open also has the same indecisive price action. The consequence of this indecisiveness can be seen by the formation of a converging triangle. A break of this pattern either to the highs or to the lows may point to the direction of the next move. However, one must be aware of false break outs. A downward break may give the possibility of buying EURUSD within Fibonacci support. An upward break could offer a buying opportunity with our preference being to wait for a pullback after the initial move.

    Definitions

    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 24th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    GBPUSD continues to bounce around support in what can be described as much muted price action. A move back into the direction of the 8 period moving averages is a possibility with our preference being a substantial retracement which would offer a selling opportunity at Fibonacci resistance. However a break of these lows could offer a selling opportunity with the logical action maybe to wait for a pullback after the initial move.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend



    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 24th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1661.10 – 1640.80
    Target 1 : 1696.40
    Target 2 : 1723.30
    Stop : <1625.80



    Comments
    Gold has begun a possible retracement. A new possible Fibonacci resistance buy zone has been posted.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend



    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 24th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 91.00 – 87.70
    Target 1 : 96.85
    Target 2 : 100.40
    Stop : <85.20



    Comments
    After yesterday’s lower close we have now posted the possibility of a buying opportunity at Fibonacci support. As the 8 period moving averages have offered support to this move we are monitoring the price action at these levels.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend

  6. #6
    AngeloOdom is offline Junior Member
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  7. #7
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 25th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1.3195 – 1.3080
    Target 1 : 1.3400
    Target 2 : 1.3385
    Stop : < 1.2995




    Comments
    After 3 quiet days, EURUSD experienced a strong up move that was eventually held at the upper level of the converging triangle formation. We are monitoring the price action for a possible upside break of this triangle pattern.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 25h January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments

    GBPUSD broke down from during yesterday’s session. There was an opportunity to short the pull back off the 1 hour chart in the area of the 8 period moving averages.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 25th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 0.9230 – 0.9140
    Target 1 : 0.9385
    Target 2 : 0.9490
    Stop : <0.9080



    Comments
    USDCHF is now trading beneath the 8 period moving averages. We are monitoring the price action for a possible move back to Fibonacci support which may offer the possibility of a buying opportunity.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 25th January 2013
    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -


    Comments
    Once again USDJPY experienced a limited pull back and although it did manage to close beneath the 8 period moving averages, the longs came in push USDJPY past the previous isolated high. At some point this uptrend will end but the direction at the moment is one way with limited pullbacks.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Tren

  8. #8
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 28th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1.3195 – 1.3080
    Target 1 : 1.3400
    Target 2 : 1.4245
    Stop : < 1.2995



    Comments
    On Friday the possible upside triangle break scenario that was identified on that morning’s analysis took place. The next target is some distance away at 1.4245. We are monitoring the price action so as to identify the next possible buying opportunity.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 28h January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    GBPUSD continues to trade at its lows. We are monitoring the price action for a possible selling opportunity.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 28th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1661.10 – 1640.80
    Target 1 : 1696.40
    Target 2 : 1723.30
    Stop : <1625.80




    Comments
    As posted previously “Gold has traded down to a level just above Fibonacci support. We are monitoring the price action for a possible rotation back to the long side”.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 28th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 91.00 – 87.70
    Target 1 : 96.85
    Target 2 : 100.40
    Stop : <85.20



    Comments
    As previously posted “The 8 period moving as on previous occasions offered Oil support. We are monitoring the price action for a possible continued up move or a break of moving average support and for Oil to trade back to Fibonacci support”.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend

  9. #9
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 29th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1661.10 – 1640.80
    Target 1 : 1696.40
    Target 2 : 1723.30
    Stop : <1625.80




    Comments
    As mentioned in a previous post we are this morning monitoring the first possible signs of price rotation to the long side within Fibonacci support. The alternative possible scenario is that this price action is nothing but a false break out which has the potential to break down into the direction of the last isolated LL.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend



    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 29th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 91.00 – 87.70
    Target 1 : 96.85
    Target 2 : 100.40
    Stop : <85.20




    Comments
    Oil as mentioned previously has found good support at the 8 period moving averages and is this morning attempting to trade above the small triangle pattern.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 29th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 0.9230 – 0.9140
    Target 1 : 0.9385
    Target 2 : 0.9490
    Stop : <0.9080



    Comments
    As posted preciously, “USDCHF traded back to Fibonacci support where buying activity came in. We are monitoring the price action for a possible move back to Target 1”.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend



    Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 29th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    As posted previously, “USDJPY continues to trade higher. We are monitoring the price action for a potential pull back to the 8 period moving averages where support may come in”.

    Definitions

    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend

  10. #10
    Atlas CapitalFx is offline Senior Member
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    Default

    Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 30th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    EURUSD yesterday broke higher after initially trading towards the 8 period moving averages. This was one of the scenarios mentioned in Tuesday’s update. We have not identified any Fibonacci support zones yet as.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend



    Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 30h January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Short
    Ambush Zone : -
    Target 1 : -
    Target 2 : -
    Stop : -



    Comments
    GBPUSD yesterday did find some support above upward sloping trend line which forms part of a multi month triangle pattern. We are monitoring the price action to see if GBPUSD can trade up to at least the 8 period moving averages. Alternatively GBPUSD could continue its move down to the upward sloping trend line.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis.
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 30th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 1661.10 – 1640.80
    Target 1 : 1696.40
    Target 2 : 1723.30
    Stop : <1625.80



    Comments
    The possible positive rotation in the Fibonacci area as previously mentioned would appear to be taking place with yesterday’s positive close which has carried on into today’s session. We are monitoring a possible move up to Target 1. The alternative possible scenario is that this price action is nothing but a false break out which has the potential to break down into the direction of the last isolated LL.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend


    Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 30th January 2013

    DAILY OVERVIEW
    Trend : Long
    Ambush Zone : 91.00 – 87.70
    Target 1 : 96.85
    Target 2 : 100.40
    Stop : <85.20



    Comments
    The bounce off the 8 period moving has continued with the price action breaking both the triangle formation and the level of the last isolated high. We continue to monitor the price action especially as and when Oil moves back into the direction of the 8 period moving averages.

    Definitions
    Trend : Current trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis
    HH : Higher High
    HL : Higher Low
    LL : Lower Low
    LH : Lower High
    CofT : Change of Trend

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