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  1. #101
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    EUR/USD – BULL CASE STRENGTHENS, EYES DRAGHI SPEECH, US RETAIL SALES DATA


    Euro looks north as trade war fears flare again.
    Focus on Draghi speech.
    Dismal US data could yield stronger rally to 1.25.
    The common currency nudged higher in Asia, pushing the EUR/USD to a four-day high of 1.2412, courtesy of turbulence in Washington and increased fears of full-blown US-China trade war.

    China may retaliate by taking strong measures

    In past trade confrontations with the US, China has often backed off, according to a Reuters report. But this time the world’s second-largest economy may retaliate with tariffs that hurt US agriculture and manufacturing sector.
    Euro could move above 1.2446 (March 8 high) if China responds with strong words to news of broader US tariffs on Chinese imports.

    Draghi will likely sound dovish

    ECB’s Draghi, scheduled to speak at 08:00 GMT, will likely reiterate, there is no urgency in removing accommodation given the lack of inflation pressure. The Eurozone will also see ECB’s Praet speech at 8.45 GMT. Industrial production and employment change data for the Eurozone is due for release at 10.00 GMT. ECB’s Coeuré will wrap up the day with a speech at 16.15.

    Read more : http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-n...il-sales-data/

  2. #102
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    NZD/USD RECOVERS LOSSES AMID THE RISK-AVERSE MOOD IN STOCKS


    Kiwi bounced off the ascending 5-day moving average.
    Ignores risk-off mood in stocks.
    The GDP-led drop in the NZD/USD was short-lived.
    The NZD/USD pair found takers below the ascending 5-day moving average of 0.7311 and recovered to 0.7325 – a level seen ahead of the NZ GDP release.
    The recovery from the session lows is somewhat surprising, given the risk assets are under pressure due to rising fears of US-China trade war. As of writing, the stocks in Australia, Hong Kong, Japan are trading modestly weaker. Further, the S&P 500 futures are reporting a 0.16 percent drop.
    Ahead in the day, the pair will likely track the broader market sentiment and may turn positive if the European desks offer US dollar in response to global trade tensions.

    Read more : http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-n...e-mood-stocks/

  3. #103
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    EUR/USD: FOCUS ON DIVERGING CENTRAL BANK EXPECTATIONS AHEAD OF FED

    Euro under pressure due to diverging central bank expectations.
    ECB lift off in 2019, a distant dream.
    Yield differential widens in the USD-positive manner.
    The common currency traded on the backfoot against the greenback in Asia and will likely extend losses in Europe and US session, courtesy of diverging monetary policy expectations.

    The bullish breakout in the Euribor futures, as discussed on Friday, indicates the markets no longer expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise rates in 2019. Meanwhile, speculation is gathering pace that Fed would revise higher its dot plot chart to four 2018 rate hikes at the forthcoming meeting.

    Consequently, the 10-year US-German yield spread has jumped to the highest level since late 2016. Thus, the EUR is becoming less attractive.

    Read more : http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-n...ons-ahead-fed/

  4. #104
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    GBP/JPY SEARCHING TO REGAIN 149.00 AHEAD OF UK INFLATION DATA

    Sterling is shifting higher in Asia markets ahead of UK CPI data.
    Risk appetite, UK confidence is keeping the GBP elevated against the Yen.
    The GBP/JPY is lifting in early Tokyo trading, testing into 148.90 after falling from a peak of 149.68 in Monday’s action.

    The Sterling took a bullish turn against the Yen on Monday and is still on the high side despite walking back some of early Monday’s gains through the London-NY overlap. The pair is currently testing back upwards ahead of the UK’s Consumer Price Index figures.

    UK inflation in the pipe

    The UK CPI numbers will be dropping at 09:30 GMT today, along with a pile of other indicators including the Retail Price Index, Producer Price Index, Housing Price Index, and the PPI Core Output, but all eyes will be on year-on-year CPI figures. The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to begin lifting interest rates soon, and although analysts are expecting the headline year-on-year CPI to come in at 2.8% (prev. 3.0%), the minor contraction is expected, and the Sterling could go on a tear if the figures come out at or better than expectations.

    The Yen is facing a quiet week on the macro calendar, but that’s probably for the best as Japan’s government continues to roil over the government land sale scandal that has seen the Prime Minister of Japan,

    Read more : http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-n...nflation-data/

  5. #105
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    EUR/USD: FOCUS ON FED’S DOT PLOT AND POWELL PRESSER


    The higher terminal rate could push up the treasury yields and the US dollar.
    Powell’s take on trade wars and inflation eyed.
    The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.2355 to 1.2240 on Tuesday, creating another lower high on the daily chart, courtesy of the disappointing German Zew survey and the drop in the bond yields across the Eurozone.

    Also, expectations of hawkish Fed and the rise in the short duration treasury yields seem to have played a role in pushing the pair lower.

    As of writing, the spot is trading at 1.2262. The previous day’s close of 1.2242 was the weakest since March 1 and has opened doors for a drop to 1.2072 (100-day moving average).

    Focus on Fed, an upward revision of terminal rate would be USD bullish

    The USD will likely surge across the board if the Fed revises higher the 2019/2020 interest rate forecasts, signaling scope for a higher terminal rate. As of now, the market believes the new normal interest rate (also known as a terminal rate or peak rate) is 2.50-2.75 percent.

    Read more : http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-n...owell-presser/

  6. #106
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    BITCOIN PRICE FORECAST MARCH 22, 2018, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


    Bitcoin markets rallied a bit during the trading session on Wednesday, reaching towards the $9000 level against the US dollar, as we are now testing significant resistance just above.


    BTC/USD


    Bitcoin rallied a bit during the trading session on Wednesday, reaching towards the $9200 level. We have broken above the $9000 level, so that’s a bullish sign but I think it’s only a matter of time before we get a bit of a push back. I see a lot of noise between here and $10,000 above, so if you cannot handle volatility, this will be the place to be. If we pull back from here, I think that the $8500 level could offer support. A breakdown below the $8400 level resumes the downtrend. Alternately, we could go higher, but I think $10,000 above is a major level to deal with. Any signs of exhaustion should be selling opportunities just waiting to happen between here and there, but if we were to break above the $10,000 level, it’s a very bullish sign. I think there is a lot of noise between here and there, so I would be very cautious about going long.

    Read more : http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-f...ical-analysis/

  7. #107
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    BITCOIN CASH, LITECOIN AND RIPPLE DAILY ANALYSIS – 23/03/18


    The bears continue to plague the markets this morning, as investors respond to negative news hitting the wires through the 2nd half of the week.


    Bitcoin Cash on Slide


    Bitcoin Cash fell by 1.84% on Thursday, following Wednesday’s 2.95% fall, to end the day at $1,011. The bullish trend that had been formed last Sunday evening reversed on Wednesday morning and, despite Bitcoin rising to an intraday high $1,066 in the early hours of Thursday, the bearish trend remained intact through the day, falling to an intraday low $981.9.
    While the intraday high failed to test major resistance levels, the $981.9 low tested the day’s first major resistance level of $995.67 and buyer appetite at the day’s 38.2% FIB Retracement Level of $991.56, though support was not enough for Bitcoin Cash to break through the day’s 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $1,026.89 by the close.
    There may have been hopes of a recovery going into this morning, with Bitcoin Cash managing to recover to $1,000 levels by the close, but the sell-off continued through the early hours of today.
    At the time of writing Bitcoin Cash was down 4.57% to $966.3, with the day ahead looking bleak as investors responded to yet more negative news hitting the wires.
    For the day ahead, with Bitcoin Cash sitting below the day’s first major support level of $973.27, failure to move through to $1,000 levels could see the day’s 2nd support level of $935.53 tested, with Bitcoin Cash sitting well below the day’s 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $1,006.
    It’s certainly looking bearish going into the weekend and, while investors have been quick to jump in on the dips of late, there may well be a pause this time around.

    Read more :*http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-f...ysis-23-03-18/

  8. #108
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    BITCOIN AND ETHEREUM PRICE FORECAST – BTC PRICES CONSOLIDATE

    The prices are consolidating as the market awaits the next direction

    The BTC prices have been consolidating and ranging as we head towards the end of the month. We had mentioned in a couple of forecasts over the last few weeks that the crypto prices had a similar fall in the same period of last year and the great bullish run in the BTC prices began only after this period and it remains to be seen whether it is going to be the same this year as well. The prices have been trading near their support region of the $8500 region over the last couple of days and this shows that there is some accumulation going on. For the bulls, they would hope that this would mean bullish accumulation which would in turn mean that the next bullish leg is around the corner.

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    Prices In Range

    There has not been much fundamental developments over the weekend for the traders to be worried about or be happy as well and that is also one of the reasons for the consolidation that we are seeing in the prices as of this writing. We expect this sort of consolidation to continue in general, with a bearish tinge, over the next few days as the traders await the tax season to get over and the BTC futures to expire for this month before they launch the prices and begin to buy or sell the BTC according to the trend. Once again, we continue to believe in the bullish trend and we might see the beginning of the next leg pretty soon.

    Read more : http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-f...s-consolidate/

  9. #109
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    BITCOIN PRICE FORECAST MARCH 27, 2018, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

    Bitcoin markets rolled over again during the trading session on Monday, as crypto currency markets continue to roll over and show signs of weakness. By the time the Americans got up, Bitcoin was down 4%.


    BTC/USD


    Bitcoin markets rolled over during the trading session during the day on Monday, breaking below the $8100 level. I think that the market will go down to the $80,000 level next, and then perhaps down to the $7000 level. The market has been struggling for some time, and currently it looks as if it isn’t going to change anytime soon. Rallies of this point will continue to attract sellers from what I see, and I think that it’s going to take a lot to turn this market around. It’s not until we break above the $10,000 level that I feel the buyers will start to gain the upper hand. The market has been losing volume, and quite frankly far too many retail traders are underwater to get involved again.

    Read more : http://www.xtreamacademy.com/forex-f...ical-analysis/

  10. #110
    andengireng is offline Banned
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    GBPAUD today, as we see here, the price is breaking the resistance area, you can start buy it now at 1.82861 with potential target up to 50 pips or you can put your TP at 1.83550

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