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  1. #181
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 01: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 01 Nov 2017 09:22 GMT


    USD/JPY - 113.73
    Despite the greenback's rally from Thursday's low at 113.34 to a fresh 3-1/2 month peak at 114.45, subsequent retreat signals recent erratic upmove has formed a temporary top there and choppy trading with downside bias would be seen for weakness towards 112.80/90 but loss of momentum would keep price above 112.50 and yield rebound later this week.

    On the upside, only above 114.45 would revive bullishness for gain towards 114.60/70 before prospect of a correction due to over bought condition.

    Ahead of FOMC, U.S. will release Markit mfg PMI, construction spending, ISM-mfg PMI. Although the Fed is widely expected to keep its interest rate unchanged at today's meeting until its final meeting in December (13th), market will look at the FOMC statements (as no press conference is scheduled) for clues on Fed's view about the labour market and the U.S. economic outlook.

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  2. #182
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 03: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 03 Nov 2017 09:20 GMT

    USD/JPY - 114.07
    Despite the greenback's rally to a fresh 3-1/2 month peak at 114.45 last Friday, subsequent sharp retreat to 112.96 Tuesday signals recent erratic upmove has formed a temporary top there and choppy trading with downside bias would be seen for weakness towards 112.70/75 but loss of momentum would keep price above 112.50 and yield rebound early next week.

    On the upside, only above 114.45 would revive bullishness for gain towards 114.60/70 before prospect of a correction due to over bought condition.

    Data to be released :
    U.K. Halifax house prices, Markit services PMI, Canada employment change, unemployment rate, trade balance, exports, imports.
    U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, average earnings, trade balance, factory orders, durable goods, ISM non-manufacturing PMI and Markit services PMI.

    AceTrader - Best Intra-day Forex Trading Strategies
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  3. #183
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 08: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 08 Nov 2017 09:20 GMT


    USD/JPY - 113.83
    Despite yesterday's cross-inspired rebound to 114.34 in Europe, subsequent decline in New York due to usd's weakness suggests choppy trading below Mon's 7-1/2 month peak at 114.74 would continue with downside bias for stronger retracement to 113.30/35, loss of downward momentum would keep price above 113.00/10.

    Only above 114.34 signals said correction has ended instead, then risk is seen for re-test of 114.74.

    No major U.S. eco. data is due out today, so funds flow would have a strong influence on intra-day price swings, also pay attention to U.S. yields, the benchmark 10-year is currently at 2.3109%, now far from its Tuesday's near 4-week low of 2.304%.

    AceTrader - Best Intra-day Forex Trading Strategies
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  4. #184
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 14: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 14 Nov 2017 09:20 GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.86
    The greenback's rebound from last Thursday's low at 113.09 to 113.72 yesterday and then intra-day break of this resistance strongly suggests decline from last Monday's 7-1/2 month peak at 114.74 has made a temporary low there and choppy trading with upside bias would be seen but above 114.07 is needed to add credence to this view and extend towards 114.34 later.

    On the downside, only below 113.22/25 would confirm aforesaid recovery has ended instead and turn outlook bearish for a re-test of 113.09, break, 112.70/73 later.

    U.S. will release PPI data n Redbook retails sales at 13:30GMT. Chair Janet Yellen will participate in policy panel before the CB Conference, the theme is Communications Challenges for Policy Effectiveness, Accountability and Reputation at 10:00GMT. Other Fed officials will be speaking later today (please refer to EI page for details).

    AceTrader - Best Intra-day Forex Trading Strategies
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  5. #185
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 20: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 20 Nov 2017 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.07
    The greenback's sharp retreat last week and subsequent break of November's low at 113.09 to 111.95 Friday signals erratic decline from November's fresh 7-1/2 month peak at 114.74 has resumed and choppy trading with downside bias would be seen for weakness towards 111.75/80 but near term loss of momentum would prevent sharp fall beyond there and reckon support at 111.65 would remain intact and yield rebound.

    On the upside, only above 113.33 would indicate a temporary low has been made and risk stronger retracement towards 113.91 before prospect of pullback.

    U.S. eco. calendar is very thin with October leading indicator being the only data due out later today at 15:00GMT.

    AceTrader - Best Intra-day Forex Trading Strategies
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  6. #186
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    Smile AceTraderFx Dec 06: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 06 Dec 2017 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.11
    Despite the greenback's resumption of decline from November's 7-1/2 month peak at 114.74 to a fresh 2-month trough at 110.84 last Monday, subsequent rebound to 112.88 Friday and then intra-day break of this resistance suggests a temporary low has been made and consolidation with uspide bias remains for a stronger retracement towards 113.20/30 but near term loss of momentum would keep price below 113.44 this week and yield retreat.

    On the downside, only below 111.38 would indicate aforesaid recovery has ended instead and turn outlook bearish for a re-test of said support early next week.

    U.S. will release mortgage applications, ADP employment data n non-farm productivity.
    Pay attention to ADP private payrolls number ahead of Friday's key U.S. jobs data, street forecast is look for an increase of 185K in Nov vs previous reading of 235K, if actual figure comes in lower than estimate, USD will be sold.

    AceTrader - Best Intra-day Forex Trading Strategies
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  7. #187
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Dec 08: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 08 Dec 2017 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.49
    The greenback's rally in New York yesterday and subsequent break of Monday's high at 113.09 signals upmove from last week's 2-month trough at 110.84 has once again resumed and consolidation with upside bias would be seen for stronger retracement of erratic decline from November's 4-month peak at 114.74 towards 113.80/90 but near term loss of momentum would keep price below 114.07/10.

    On the downside, only below 112.86 would indicate a temporary top has been made and risk stronger correction to 112.37/40 before prospect of a rebound later.

    Data to be released on Friday:
    Japan current account, GDP, trade balance, eco watchers outlook, eco watchers current, China exports, imports, trade balance.
    Italy market holiday, Germany exports, imports, current account, trade balance, France industrial output, budget balance, U.K. construction output, industrial output, manufacturing output, trade balance, NIESR GDP estimate.
    Canada housing starts, capacity utilisation, and U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, average earnings, University of Michigan sentiment, wholesale inventories and wholesale sales.

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  8. #188
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    Smile AceTraderFx Dec 15: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 15 Dec 2017 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.13
    The greenback's selloff to as low as 112.46 Wednesday after the Federal Reserve hiked its rate by 25 bps, then to 112.07 yesterday suggests corrective rise from November's 2-month trough at 110.84 has made a temporary top at 113.75 Tuesday and choppy trading with downside bias would be seen for weakness towards 111.70/74, however, support at 111.41 should remain intact initially and yield rebound.

    On the upside, only above 113.25 (previous support, now resistance) would indicate said pullback is over and risk re-test of said res, break would extend to 114.10/20.

    U.S. will release New York Fed manufacturing index, industrial prod., capacity utilization and manufacturing output during New York morning.

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  9. #189
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Dec 18: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 18 Dec 2017 10:00 GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.71
    The greenback's selloff to as low as 112.46 Wednesday after the Federal Reserve hiked its rate by 25 bps, then to 112.07 yesterday suggests corrective rise from November's 2-month trough at 110.84 has made a temporary top at 113.75 Tuesday and choppy trading with downside bias would be seen for weakness towards 111.70/74.
    However, support at 111.41 should remain intact initially and yield rebound.

    On the upside, only above 113.25 (previous support, now resistance) would indicate said pullback is over and risk re-test of said res, break would extend to 114.10/20.

    Data to be released on Monday:
    Italy trade balance, EU CPI, core CPI, U.K. CBI industry trends survey and U.S. NAHB housing market on Monday.

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