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  1. #281
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Jul 23: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 23 Jul 2019 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 108.13
    Although dollar's rise from last Thursday's 3-week trough at 107.22 to 108.19 today suggests recent decline from July's 5-week peak at 108.99 has made a temporary low and consolidation with upside bias remains, overbought condition should cap price below said res and yield retreat.

    On the downside, below 107.71/78 would yield weakness towards 107.54, then possibly re-test of 107.22 later.

    Eco. calendar in the euro area countries is very thin on Tuesday with EU's consumer confidence for July being the only data due out later in the day at 14:00GMT.

  2. #282
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Jul 25: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 25 Jul 2019 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 108.07
    Dollar's rally from last Thursday's 3-week low at 107.22 to 108.29 on Tue suggests decline from July's 1-month peak at 108.99 has made a temporary low and as price has rebounded after yesterday's pullback to 107.94 (New York), upside bias is retained for gain to 108.75 but 108.99 should remain intact.

    On the downside, only below 107.71/78 may risk weakness towards 107.50/54.

    U.S. will later release weekly jobless claims, durable goods order, wholesale inventories and finally Kansas City manufacturing index.

  3. #283
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Aug 02: Daily Recommendations on Major - USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 02 Aug 2019 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.93
    Dollar's selloff from yesterday's 8-week high to 107.27 in New York on U.S. President Trump's tweet on more tariffs on China, then to 106.84 today suggests early correction from June's 5-1/2 month trough at 106.79 has ended and re-test of this level would be seen after consolidation, where break would extend medium term decline towards 106.20/30.

    On the upside, only above 107.56/57 would risk stronger retracement towards 107.95/00.

    Data to be released on Friday :

    Swiss CPI manufacturing PMI, Italy industrial output, retail sales, UK Markit construction PMI, EU PPI, retail sales.
    U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, average earnings, goods trade balance, ISM New York index, factory orders, durables ex-defense, durable goods, durables ex-transport, University of Michigan sentiment, and Canada trade balance, export, import.

  4. #284
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Aug 12: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 12 Aug 2019 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 105.29
    Dollar's intra-day break of Friday's 7-month bottom at 105.27 suggests medium term decline remains in progress and would head towards 105.00 after consolidation but loss of downward momentum should keep price above 2019 trough of 104.79 (January).

    On the upside, only above 106.30/32 would confirm temporary low made and risk retracement towards 106.70/74.

    On the economic calendar, no data is due out from the U.S. today, we have U.S. Federal budget due out at 18:00GMT, therefore, funds flow will have a greater impact on intra-day price swings.

  5. #285
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Aug 20: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 20 Aug 2019 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.46
    Although dollar's retreat from last Tuesday's 106.97 high to 105.66 Wed suggests correction from last Monday's fresh 7-month trough at 105.06 has ended, subsequent daily wild swings would bring range trading before prospect of another fall to 105.66/71.

    On the upside, only above 106.78 would risk re-test of 106.97, break would extend gain towards 107.09, then 107.27.

    U.S. will later release Philly Fed non-manufacturing business outlook survey at 12:30GMT, then Redbook sales at 12:55GMT. Intra-day traders are expected to ignore these 2nd-teir data and will take cue from intra-day move in U.S. yields n stocks.

  6. #286
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 09: Daily Recommendations on Major USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 09 Sept 2019 09:30 GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.94
    Despite dollar's fall from last Thursday's 5-week peak at 107.22 to 106.63 in post-NFP trading on Friday, subsequent rebound to 107.01 in Asia today suggests the pullback has ended and consolidation with upside bias remains for a re-test of said resistance, break would extend upmove from August's 33-month trough at 104.46 to 107.49/50 later, however, loss of momentum would keep price below 107.82.

    On the downside, only below 106.63 would revive bearishness for stronger retracement to 106.38, then 106.22 before prospect of a recovery.

    After Friday's blockbuster U.S. NFP, no eco. data is due out today, therefore, traders may take cue on intra-day move in U.S. yields especially the benchmark 1-year which had rebounded from Sepember's 3-year low of 1.429% (Tuesday) to as high as 1.608% on Friday (circa 1.5687%).

  7. #287
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 26: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 26 Sept 2019 09:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.68
    Despite dollar's selloff to 106.97 Tuesday, subsequent rebound to 107.88 in New York yesterday suggests recent decline from last Wednesday's 6-week high at 108.47 has ended and consolidation with upside bias remains for gain to 108.20/30, but 108.47 would hold today.

    On the downside, only below 107.42 signals correction has ended and bring re-test of 106.97.

    BOJ Gov. Kuroda is due to speak at an annual meeting of securities firms in Tokyo at 06:30GMT. There will be a heavy data dump in U.S. session today, please refer to our EI section for details, pay particular attention to Q2 GDP data at 12:30GMT.
    We also have a number of Fed officials scheduled to speak later today too.

  8. #288
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 09: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 09 Oct 2019 09:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.27
    Despite dollar's rise from last Thursday's 3-week low at 106.49 to 107.46 Monday, subsequent retreat to 106.82 in Europe yesterday signals correction has possibly ended, intra-day rebound would bring range trading before price head towards 106.49, where break would extend to 106.24.

    On the upside, only above 107.46 would yield gain towards 107.89, then 108.17.

    U.S. will release some 2nd-tier economic data starting with MBA mortgage applications, JOLTS jobs openings, wholesale inventories and wholesale sales. Pay attention to release of Sep's FOMC minutes at 18:00GMT which is expected to move intra-day market. We also have Fed's Powell making an opening speech at a "Fed Listens" event in Kansas City at 15:00GMT and also KC Fed's George at the same venue.

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