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  1. #1
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx April 25: Daily Market Outlook on USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK USD/JPY - 102.40

    Update Time: 25 Apr 2014 01:44 GMT

    Despite yesterday's retreat to 102.09, subsequent rebound in Asian morning suggests dollar's choppy consolidation below Wednesday's high at 102.73 is likely to continue with neutral bias. A breach of 102.73 would confirm erratic up move from April's low at 101.32 has once again resumed and extend gain to 103.06, however, loss of momentum should cap price at 103.39/40 today.

    On the downside, a breach of 101.86 would indicate the recovery from 101.32 is over instead and weakness to 101.50 and 101.32 would follow.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:06 PM.

  2. #2
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 2: Daily Outlook on Major USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK USD/JPY - 102.28
    Update Time: 02 May 2014 00:13 GMT

    The greenback traded narrowly on Thursday after Wednesday's strong retreat from 102.67 to 102.03, however, as aforesaid sell off suggests recent up move from April's low at 101.32 has formed a temporary top at 102.79 on Tuesday 102.79, choppy consolidation with downside bias would be seen and weakness towards 101.96 support (last Friday's low) is likely, below would bring stronger pullback to 101.60/70, however, as broad outlook remains consolidative, April's low at 101.32 should hold from here and yield further choppy gyrations.

    On the upside, only a breach of 102.67 would turn outlook bullish for another corrective rise to 103.06, being 61.8% retracement of 104.13-101.32, however, reckon upside would be limited to 103.30/40.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:06 PM.

  3. #3
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 6: Daily Outlook on USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK USD/JPY

    Update Time: 06 May 2014 00:26 GMT

    Despite last Friday's brief rise to 103.02 due to the release of upbeat US jobs report, the renewed tension in Ukraine knocked price lower to 102.13 and then 101.86 yesterday, suggesting the erratic up move from April's low at 101.32 has possibly formed a temporary top there and consolidation with downside bias would be seen, however, breach of said sup needed to confirm decline from this year's top at 105.45 has once again resumed and yield re-test of 100.76 (February's low).

    On the upside, only a breach of 103.02 would prolong recent choppy consolidation and may risk stronger gain to 103.45 but res at 104.13 (April's high) is expected to remain intact.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:06 PM.

  4. #4
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 21: Daily Market Outlook on USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on USD/JPY - 101.27

    Update Time: 21 May 2014 01:24 GMT


    Dollar retreated after meeting renewed selling at 101.60 in Asian morning on Tuesday suggests the recovery from Monday's fresh 3-1/2 month high at 101.10 has possibly ended and erratic decline from April's high at 104.13 should resume for weakness to said level, below would encourage for a re-test of this year's low at 100.76 (February).

    On the upside, only above 101.83 (being 38.2% are of intermediate decline from 103.02) would signal temporary low is made and risk stronger bounce to 102.12 and 102.36 resistance.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:07 PM.

  5. #5
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 28: Daily Market outlook on USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK USD/JPY - 101.93

    Update Time: 28 May 2014 01:33GMT

    The greenback extended up move from last Wednesday's 3-1/2 month low at 100.81 to 102.14 on improved risk appetite due to dollar's broad-based strength after the release of robust U.S. economic data, suggesting a stronger retracement of decline from April's high at 104.13 would be seen and further gain to 102.36 resistance is envisaged, however, reckon 102.86 should cap upside and yield retreat later.

    On the downside, only a breach of 101.60 support would signal the recovery is over instead and may bring weakness to 101.35 support level.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:07 PM.

  6. #6
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 26: Daily Technical Outlook & Trading Ideals on USD/JPY

    DAILY USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

    Last Update At 26 Jun 2014 00:09GMT

    Trend Daily Chart
    Sideways

    Daily Indicators
    Neutral

    21 HR EMA
    101.85

    55 HR EMA
    101.89

    Trend Hourly Chart
    Sideways

    Hourly Indicators
    Turning up

    13 HR RSI
    45

    14 HR DMI
    -ve

    Daily Analysis
    Consolidation with downside bias

    Resistance
    102.80 - Jun 04 high
    102.65 - Jun 09 high
    102.35 - Last Wed's high

    Support
    101.61 - Jun 12 low
    101.43 - May 29 low
    101.10 - May 19 low


    . USD/JPY - 101.82... Dlr remained under pressure in Asia n Europe on Wed n briefly weakened to session low of 101.64 in NY morning as sharply lower final U.S. GDP triggered broad-based selling in greenback. Later, cross-selling in yen lifted the buck n price recovered to 101.87 in NY afternoon.

    . Looking at the hourly & daily charts, y'day's break of 101.74 to 101.64 suggests a 'downside break' of early 2-week long broad range of 101.61-102.35 has possibly taken place n re-test of said lower level wud be forthcoming soon, below wud confirm erratic decline fm Jun's top at 102.80 (Jun 04) has resumed n further weakness to daily chart obj. at 101.43 n then 101.10 (May 29 n May 19 low respectively) shud follow. However, as the hourly oscillators' readings wud display prominent 'bullish convergences' on such move, price wud hold abv May's bottom at 100.81 (May 21) n yield rebound later.

    . In view of abv analysis, selling the greenback again on recovery is still cautiously favoured but profit shud be taken on subsequent decline. On the up-side, only a daily close above 102.35 would shift risk to the upside for stronger gain to 102.65 but aforesaid res at 102.80 shud continue to hold.

    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:07 PM.

  7. #7
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Aug 25: Daily Outlook on Major USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK USD/JPY - 104.11

    Update Time: 25 Aug 2014 07:58 GMT

    The greenback's rise above April's peak at 104.13 last Friday and then to a fresh multi-month peak at 104.19 in New Zealand today signals an upside break of the 7-1/2 month broad sideways move from 105.45 9Jan) has taken place and consolidation with upside bias remains for gain 104.77, however, near term loss of momentum should cap price below said res today and yield minor correction later.

    On the downside, only below 103.50 would indicate a temporary top has been formed instead and shift risk to the downside for a retracement to 103.15.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:07 PM.

  8. #8
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Feb 25: Daily Market Outlook on Major (USD/JPY)

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK
    Update Time: 25 Feb 2015 00:54 GMT

    USD/JPY - 118.80
    Despite yesterday's cross-inspired rebound above last week's 119.41 high to 119.84 in New York morning, subsequent selloff to 118.76 following Fed chief Yellen's mildly dovish testimony suggests early erratic rise from last week's low at 118.20 has ended there and consolidation with downside bias is in store today.
    However, only below 118.20 would retain bearishness for recent fall from February's 120.48 to extend to 117.90/00, loss of downward momentum should keep price above 117.62 (being 61.8% r of 115.85-120.48).

    On the upside, expect 119.41 to cap intra-day recovery and only above 119.84/88 res would risk marginal gain to 120.00/04 before prospect of another decline.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:07 PM.

  9. #9
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Apr 8: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major USD/JPY
    Update Time: 08 Apr 2015 07:54 GMT

    USD/JPY - 119.88

    Although dollar's intra-day weakness after release of BoJ unchanged monetary policy suggests consolidation with downside bias would be seen, a daily close below 119.68 (Monday's high) is needed to signal erratic up move from March's 5-week trough at 118.33 has made a top at 120.45 Tuesday and yield weakness to 118.72.

    On the upside, above 120.45 would bring stronger retracement of erratic decline from March's near 8-year peak at 122.03 to 120.62 (61.8% r) and then 120.90/00 but pivotal resistance at 121.20 should hold.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:07 PM.

  10. #10
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 26: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK
    Update Time: 26 May 2015 09:34 GMT

    USD/JPY - 122.75

    Dollar's intra-day rally above 2015's 8-year peak at 122.03 signals long-term uptrend has once again resumed and consolidation with upside bias remains for further gain towards 123.00/10, then 123.25/27.
    However, loss of momentum would prevent steep rise beyond there and reckon resistance at 123.55 would remain intact today and yield a much-needed correction later.

    On the downside, only below 122.03 would indicate a temporary top has been made and yield stronger retracement towards 121.78/80 before prospect of a rebound.
    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 01-10-2016 at 06:07 PM.

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