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Thread: AceTraderFx May 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY AUD/USD

  1. #21
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 5: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views USD/JPY

    05 Sep 2014
    01:49GMT

    USD/JPY - ..... Japan's FinMin Taro Aso said, quote:
    "rapid FX moves undesirable".
    "Understand BoJ Kuroda's concern about risk from foregoing next sales tax hike;
    Rapid FX moves undesirable".
    "hard to know if raising min. wage would hurt or help employment";
    compiling extra budget will be an option to back decision in Dec on next tax hike.'
    "not surprised about FX moves, trend is more dlr strength than yen weakness";
    if uncertainty about economy outlook appears, gov't and BoJ would call on each other to respond;
    dollar has reached 105 yen due to strength of U.S. economy.'


    Friday will see the release of U.K. RICS housing price balance, Bank of Japan monthly economy servery and leading indicator, Germany's industrial output, Swiss CPI and industrial orders, eurozone revised GDP, U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls and unemployment rate, Canada's employment change, unemployment rate and Ivey PMI.

  2. #22
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views USD/JPY

    08 Sep 2014
    02:12GMT

    USD/JPY - .... The greenback went through a mini 'roller-coaster' session in early Monday trading. Although price dipped to 104.93 partly on selling in stg/yen & eur/yen, intra-day steep fall in the pound at NZA open lifted the dlr broadly and price quickly pared initial loss and climbed to 105.23 but offers below Fri's NY high at 105.26 checked dlr's upside n price edged lower ahead of Tokyo open.

    Dlr showed muted reaction to a downward revision to Japan's Q2 GDP which showed Japan's Q2 growth shrank to 7.1% annually vs previous reading of -6.8% (but not far fm forecast of -7.0%). The GDP contraction was the steep since Q1 2009 after the Lehman crash.

    Range trading is expected after Fri's strong retreat from a near 6-year peak of 105.71 (AUS) to as low as 104.69 after a surprise disappointing U.S. payrolls.
    Initial bids are noted at 105.95/00 and more below with fairly large stops touted below 104.65. On the upside, offers are tipped at 105.20-30 and more at 105.45/55, suggesting choppy consolidation would continue.



    Next week will see the release of Japan's current account, revised GDP and economy watcher poll, Swiss unemployment rate, Germany's imports, exports and trade balance, Swiss CPI and retail sales, eurozone Sentix index and Canada's building permits on Monday.

    U.K. BRC retail sales, Bank of Japan's meeting minutes, Australia's NAH business confidence, Japan's consumer confidence index, U.K. industrial and manufacturing output, goods trade balance, Canada's housing starts on Tuesday.

    Japan's corp. goods price and machinery orders, Australia's consumer sentiment, Canada's capacity utilization, U.S. wholesale inventories on Wednesday.

    Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision, Australia's employment, full time employment and unemployment rate, China's CPI and PPI, Germany's CPI and HICP, Canada's new housing price index and U.S. Federal budget on Thursday.

    New Zealand's manufacturing PMI, Japan's capacity utility index and industrial output, eurozone employment and industrial production, U.S. exports, imports, retail sales, University of Michigan sentiment and business inventories on Friday.

  3. #23
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 10: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views USD/JPY

    10 Sep 2014
    01:31GMT

    USD/JPY - ..... Statement from BoJ Deputy Governor Iwata, quote:
    'QQE has been exerting intended effects;
    Japan's economy continues to recover moderately as a trend, although effect of sales tax hike remains;
    what matters is the mechanism underlying the economic recovery and not temporary factors;
    BoJ judges that the virtuous cycle of economic activity remains firmly intact in both the household and corporate sectors;
    with the employment and income situation improving steadily, private consumption has remained resilient as a trend;
    labour market is likely to continue tightening as the economy continues to recover;
    virtuous cycle of economic activity in the household sector is expected to remain in place;
    BoJ will carefully examine how decline in real income, due to tax hike, affects households' spending behaviour;
    need structural reforms, not just monetary policy, to achieve govt economic growth targets;
    2 pct price target can be achieved with monetary policy regardless of potential growth rate;
    Japan's potential growth rate estimated around 0.5 percent; now is time for efforts to promote innovation and reverse decline in working age population; export recovery has been delayed, but exports likely to head for a moderate increase;
    Japan's economy likely to continue recovering moderately as a trend;
    yen depreciation does not necessarily lead to inflation;
    exports are potential concern for outlook of Japan's economy;
    from somewhat longer-term perspective, correction of past excessive yen appreciation will mitigate downward pressure on exports;
    yen depreciation can raise prices for some goods but also weigh on aggregate demand;
    need to examine output gap to forecast prices on macro level;
    increase in CPI is expected to accelerate moderately, along with increasing wages;
    yen falls will encourage firms to be more proactive in capex, boost exports.'

    Wednesday will see the release of Japan's corp. goods price and machinery orders, Australia's consumer sentiment, Canada's capacity utilization and U.S. wholesale inventories.

  4. #24
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 16: Intra-Day News & Views(AUD/USD) & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views

    16 Sep 2014

    AUD/USD
    - the RBA releases its minutes :
    -most prudent course likely to be a period of stability for rates
    -policy must take into account risk of further large build-up in home prices
    -members observed additional speculative demand could amplify property price cycle
    -members noted there had not been a general easing in mortgage lending standards to date
    -members judged current policy stance contributing to sustainable growth
    -A$ remained above most estimates of its fundamental value
    -iron ore prices had declined noticeably over the past month
    -signs of pick up in labour demand, but some time before jobless rate declined consistently
    -mining investment little changed in Q2 but should fall significantly over the next year
    -degree of spare capacity in labour market apparent in the slow growth of wages
    -recent Chinese data consistent with official GPD target of 7.5%
    -conditions in China's residential property market remain a risk to outlook for China

    Tuesday will see the release of Australia's RBA meeting minutes, U.K. CPI, PPI and RPI, Bank of England quarterly bulletin, Germany's ZEW current conditions and economic sentiment, U.S. core PPI final demand, Canada's manufacturing sales, U.S. Redbook and overall net capital flows.

  5. #25
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 18: Intra-Day News & Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views

    18 Sep 2014 02:12GMT
    USD/JPY
    - ..... Statement from Japan Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary, quote:
    'no truth to report Japan will announce stronger sanction on Russia tomorrow;
    will take appropriate action focusing on coordination with G7, on sanctions vs Russia.'

    Japan's MoF, their FinMin Taro Aso and U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew will hold a bilateral meeting on Fri ahead of a weekend gathering of finance leaders in Cairns, Australia.
    The ministry said that the 2 sides will likely discuss the ECO. situations of their countries as well as the world economy.

    Reuters reported the meeting will take place after the dollar broke above 108 yen, a 6-year high versus the Japanese currency, although it was unknown if the two finance chiefs would discuss currencies.


    Thursday will see the release of New Zealand's GDP, Japan's import, export and trade balance, China's house prices, Swiss trade balance and interest rate decision, U.K. retail sales, CBI trends, U.S. building permits, housing starts, initial jobless claims, Philly Fed business index and U.K. Independence referendum.

  6. #26
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 24: Intra-Day News & Views (AUD/USD) & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views

    24 Sep 2014
    01:31GMT

    AUD/USD -..... RBA releases Financial Stability Review:
    'discussing with apra further steps to strengthen bank lending standards;
    APRA has already intensified supervision of mortgage lending;
    composition of housing and mortgage market becoming "unbalanced";
    bank competition driving strong rise in loans for housing investment;
    speculative demand could amplify house price cycle, risk eventual sharp reversal;
    risks from housing cycle mostly macroeconomic, could become systemic if loan growth persists;
    important that Australian banks do not loosen mortgage lending standards;
    overall lending standards have not eased as yet, but still might not be conservative enough;
    strong investor demand for commercial property driving up prices, but risks modest so far;
    Australian bank profitability remains robust, capital ratios rising and bad debts falling;
    shadow banking only small fraction of australian market, poses little systemic risk;
    indicators point to low levels of financial stress in household sector;
    business lending by foreign-owned banks in Australia expanding at a fast pace;
    rising concerns about asset quality in china amid slower growth, softer house prices.'

    Wednesday will see the release of New Zealand's exports, imports and trade balance, Japan's Markit manufacturing PMI, Swiss UBS consumption indicator, German Ifo business climate, current conditions and expectations, U.S. new home sales.

  7. #27
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 7: Intra-Day News & Views(USD/JPY) & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views

    07 Oct 2014
    01:34GMT

    USD/JPY - ...... Reuters news quoting BOJ GOV Kuroda who is speaking before the parliament and says, quote:
    recent export moves lacking momentum;
    exports likely to improve moderately as overseas growth picks up;
    tankan showed CAPEX plans are pretty firm;
    positive cycle of households, companies using their income for spending is in place;
    effect of sales tax hike on economy being prolonged, bad weather also affecting economy;
    weak yen is generally positive for Japan's economy if it reflects economic, market fundamentals;
    in general, weak yen has some positive effects on exports, Japan firms operating overseas;
    weak yen also pushes down earnings of non-manufacturers by pushing up import costs.

    Kuroda continues n says BOJ ready to adjust policy if needed, which means we will ease policy if economic, price outlook undershoots our forecasts; economy on steady track to meet 2% inflation goal; receny yen weakness due to diverging monetary policies between Japan, U.S. n Europe; yen weakness up until now has not been a problem for Japan's economy; important for public finances to be sustainable; appreciate govt's effort to tackle fiscal reforms.


    01:12GMT Japan's GPIF now aims to decide portfolio overhaul between mid-Nov n mid-Dec, source.
    Japan's Chief Govt. Spokesman says "had expected weak yen to boost exports but now moving sideways".
    This morning BOJ Governor Kuroda to appear in parliament from around 01:20GMT - parliamentary source.
    BOJ board meeting to recess for about 1-2 hours during time GOV Kuroda appears in parliament.

    Last night, the greenback tumbled to as low as 108.65 due to active long liquidation in thin U.S. trading. Offers are tipped at 109.00-10 n more at 109.30. On the downside, a mixture of bids n stops is located at 108.50.

    Tuesday will see the release of New Zealand business confidence, Japan BoJ rate decision, leading indicators, Australia RBA rate decision, Germany industrial output, Swiss CPI, retail sales, UK industrial output, manufacturing output, Canada building permits and U.S. redbook retail sales.

  8. #28
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 8: Intra-Day News and Views(USD/JPY) & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

    08 Oct 2014 02:20GMT

    USD/JPY - ..... Dlr pares Tue's losses in Tokyo trading and staged a strong bounce from intra-day bottom at 107.76 to 108.44.

    Although st specs sold the pair at 108.19 in Australia on stop hunting, price briefly fell below o/n NY low at 107.82 to 107.76. However, buyers quickly emerged and lifted the dlr.
    The pair continued to climb just ahead of Tokyo open by Japanese names on 'bargain hunting' as sub-108.00 looked cheap to Japanese importers, price later climbed to 108.44 before easing.

    Last night the Federal Reserve is prepared to adjust its approach to raising U.S. interest rates, when the time comes, depending on the reaction of financial markets, New York Fed President William Dudley said on Tuesday.

    "The trickiest part will be, some things are just not knowable right now, and one thing is exactly how the financial markets will react to the process of monetary policy normalization," he said at a college here.

    The central bank will "adjust the pace with which we'll do it, the way in which we do it, depending on how circumstances evolve," Dudley added.

    Wednesday will see the release of UK BRC shop price index, Japan current account, China HSBC services PMI, Swiss unemployment, Canada housing starts and U.S. FOMC minutes.

  9. #29
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 9: Intra-Day News and Views(USD/JPY) & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

    08 Oct 2014

    USD/JPY
    - ......comments by BOJ GOV Kuroda who is attending World Bank & G20 n is speaking at The Economic Club of NY said QQE has been producing intended effects:
    -virtuous cycle of spending has been operating steadily due to qqe
    -japan's economy has been on path suggesting its 2 percent price stability target will be achieved as expected
    -japan's economy expected to continue its recovery, weathering the temporary slowdown in economic growth due to the consumption tax hike
    -japan's economy has been on path suggesting its 2 percent price stability target will be achieved as expected
    -japan's economy is expected to continue its recovery, weathering the temporary slowdown in economic growth due to the consumption tax hike
    -there is almost no slack in japan's labor market, spare capacity in firms and labor market is zero
    -output gap and inflation expectations are expected to continue improving
    -we need to raise inflation rates and inflation expectations further toward 2 percent and thus we are only halfway there
    -boj will make adjustments without hesitation if outlook changes due to manifestation of risk factors
    - boj's commitment is "result oriented," we will continue with qqe to achieve price target and make adjustments if necessary
    -japan's potential growth rate is estimated to be around 0.5 percent
    -many options are available to ramp up easing if needed

    Thursday will see the release of Japan machinery orders, Australia employment, unemployment, consumer confidence, Germany imports, exports, trade balance, France imports, exports, trade balance, UK BoE rate decision, U.S. jobless claims, wholesale sales, wholesale inventories and Canada new housing price index.

  10. #30
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 10: Intra-Day News and Views(USD/JPY) & data to be released today

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

    10 Oct 2014
    02:27GMT

    USD/JPY - .... Despite staging a rebound from Thursday's 3-week low of 107.53 to 108.18 initially in NY morning session after release of upbeat U.S. initial jobless claims (weekly claims dropped 1,000 to nearly its lowest level b4 the 07'-09' recession), however, sell off in U.S. stocks (S&P & the Dow fell 2.1% & 1.9% respectively) led to renewed risk-aversion buying of yen n knocked dlr back down to 107.72.
    The pair traded narrowly in Aust. before falling to 107.65 at Asian open as the Nikkei open lower following o/n sell off in the N225 futures.

    Although Nikkie is currently down 152 points, it is trading above intra-day 15259 low, therefore, as dlr/yen has been tracking the Nikkei index closely these days, further consolidation above 107.53 is therefore envisaged.
    Offers are tipped at 108.00 and more at 108.15/20 with stops above there. Initial bids are noted at 107.65-60 with stops reported below 107.50, then 107.40, suggesting selling dlr on intra-day recovery is still favoured.

    Friday will see the release of Japan BoJ minutes, consumer confidence, France industrial output, Italy industrial output, UK trade balance, Canada employment, unemployment, U.S. export price index and import price index.

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