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Thread: AceTraderFx May 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY AUD/USD

  1. #531
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    Smile AceTraderFx Feb 14: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    14 Feb 2018
    03:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.66.. Although dlr shrugged off upbeat Japan's GDP data which showed economy grew for 8 consecutive quarters in longest streak for 28 year n climbed to 107.90 on bargain hunting by Japanese names (importers) following Tuesday's selloff to a fresh 5-month trough of 107.41 in New York, the pair pared intra-day gain and retreated to 107.64 as the Nikkie moved back to the red despite overnight minor gains in U.S. equities where the Dow closed very slightly up by 0.16% at 24640.

    Looks like consolidation with downside bias would be seen n traders are eager to take probe at 2017 bottom at 107.32 where a daily close below there would pave the way for price to head towards 106.00 later this month.
    Offers are tipped at 107.75/85 and more above with some stops above 108.05.
    Bids re noted at 107.55-50 with a mixture of bids and stops touted at 107.35/30.

    Some traders attributed to Tuesday's selloff whoch started in Tokyo on media report Japan's FSA is mulling the lowering of the max. leverage allowed on FX trading by individuals from current 25 times margin to 10 times this spring to curb risk taking.

    Later today, all eyes are on release of key U.S. CPI n retail sales data, a higher-than-expected inflation reading will bolster mkt expectation of 3-4 Fed rate hikes this year n will lead to higher U.S. yields but the Dow will fall on such action and the yen will strength on risk aversion - a bit of a bewildering analysis isn't it !

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  2. #532
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    Smile AceTraderFx Feb 20: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    20 Feb 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.74.. Dlr maintains a firm undertone in Asian morning after intra-day gain above Monday's 106.73 high to 106.79.

    Although price moved narrowly in holiday-thinned North American after session, renewed buying emerged at 106.56 in Australia and sent price to intra-day high of 106.79, suggesting as long as 106.50/56 sup holds, marginal gain is likely. Bids are noted at 106.65-60 with stops touted below 106.50.
    Offers are tipped at 106.80/85 with stops above 107.00.

    U.S. markets will re-open a long w/end holiday but no econpmic release is scheduled, so traders will watch U.S. yields, U.S. bond auctions and the Dow for direction.

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  3. #533
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    Smile AceTraderFx Feb 21: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    21 Feb 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.80.. Dlr stand s tall in active Asian trading. The pair took centre stage and easily climbed above Tuesday's 107.38 high to a near 1-week high of 107.85 and broad-based yen selling, triggering stops above 107.40, then 107.60.

    Traders cited yesterday's gain in Treasury yields as well as fairly successful auction of short-term U.S. debts were the reasons for intra-day rise, current broad-based gains in Asian stocks (N225 up 0.6% at 22064) also boosted risk appetite, suggesting price may head a bit higher in Europe, so buying on dips is the way to go.
    Bids have been raised to 107.50-55 and more below and a mixture of offers with stops is touted at 108.00/05.

    Although market focus is the release of minutes of last Fed's meeting at 19:00GMT, before that, U.S. will release MBA mortgage applications, Redbook retail sales, Markit manuf. and services PMI and existing home sales.
    We also have Minneapolis Fed's Kashkari and Philly Fed's Harker speaking at 14:00GMT.

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  4. #534
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    Smile AceTraderFx Feb 26: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    26 Feb 2018
    04:20GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.54.. The greenback went through a roller-coaster ride in hectic Tokyo trading. Despite extending rebound from Friday's 106.51 (New York) low to 107.28 in New Zealand, dlr came under selling pressure shortly after Tokyo open, intra-day decline accelerated on broad-based yen buying partly on falling U.S. yields despite dovish comments by BoJ Governor Kuroda.

    Although intra-day break of Friday's 106.51 low suggests near term downside bias remains, as broad outlook is consolidative, steep fall is therefore unlikely.
    Offers are tipped at 106.80/90 and more above.
    Bids are noted at 106.45-35 with stops touted below 106.10.

    U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting from building permits, Chicago Fed National Activity index, new home sales and Dallas Fed manuf. business index. Also, St. Louis Fed's Dallas (non-voter) will speak at 13:00GMT.

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  5. #535
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    Smile AceTraderFx Mar 01: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    01 Mar 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.69.. The pair remained under pressure in relatively subdued trading in Asian morning due to continued yen's strength despite usd's broad-based gain.
    Traders cited selling by Japanese exporters' month-end yen buying, falling U.S. yields n weakness in the Nikkie were contributing factors to dlr's decline which bean yesterday.

    Having said that, usd's expected gain vs other G7 counterparts should prevent steep fall and as long as this week's low at 106.38 (Monday), further choppy sideways swings would continue and price may ratchet higher later in the day if U.S. yields rebound.
    For now, bids are noted at 106.55/45 with stops reported below 106.30.
    Offers are tipped at 106.75/85 with some stops above 107.00.

    U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting with the key Jan's core PCE price index (Fed's favourite inflation gauge), PCE, personal income n spending, initial jobless claims, Markit manuf. PMI, construction spending n ISM manuf. PMI.

    Fed Chairman J. Powell will make his second testimony this week and will testify before the Senate Banking Committee at 15:00GMT and out-going Fed's Dudley will speak at 16:00GMT.

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  6. #536
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    Smile AceTraderFx Mar 02: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    02 Mar 2018
    04:05GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.04.. Dlr remains on the back foot in Asian morning as Asian traders sold the usd vs G4 counterparts following o/n selloff in New York in reaction to Trump's announcement to impose hefty U.S. import tariffs on steel and aluminium, price fell from 106.30 to a fresh 2-week low of 105.94 ahead of Tokyo lunch break before rebounding on short covering.

    Yesterday's break of last week's 106.38 low (now res) and then daily close below there suggests correction from February's fresh 15-month bottom has ended and price is en route to re-test this level, possibly in New York trading later today, then towards next chart obj. at 105.00 (there is rumour of option defence at this 'psychological level).
    Therefore, selling dlr on recovery is the way to go due to yen buying on risk aversion in reaction to market jitters of a global trade war following Trump's action.
    Offers are tipped at 106.20/30 n more above with stops above 106.55/60.
    Some bids are noted at 105.95/90 with stops building below 105.50.

    T.G.I.F. after a tumultuous week, however, U.S. will release ISM New York index and then University of Michigan consumer confidence later but market attention is global stock market reaction to Trump's decision to impose import tariffs and dollar's reaction (pun intended) on this.

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  7. #537
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    Smile AceTraderFx Mar 05: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    05 Mar 2018
    03:05GMT

    USD/JPY - 105.47.. Dlr swung broadly sideways in Asian morning as market focus is on the euro.
    Despite opening flat in New Zealand on Monday, intra-day gain in the euro led to broad-based usd's weakness and the pair fell from 105.72 to 105.43 before rebounding to 105.56 due to sharp retreat in the eur/usd.

    Looks like choppy trading above Friday's fresh 15-month trough above 105.25 would continue and as long as this temp. low holds, a modest corrective bounce to 105.90/00 is still likely.
    Bids are noted at 105.45-35 with stops below 105.25, however, there is talk of option defence above the psychological 105.00 level.
    On the upside, offers are tipped at 105.65/75 and more above with stops reported above 106.00.

    U.S. will release Markit services PMI, the ISM non-mfg PMI at 14:45GMT n 15:00GMT respectively. We also have Chicago Fed's Evans (non-voter) speaking at 17:00GMT.

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  8. #538
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    Smile AceTraderFx Mar 07: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    07 Mar 2018
    03:25GMT

    USD/JPY - 105.69.. Dlr has stabilised after initial selloff ahead of Tokyo open when news of resignation of Trump's top economic adviser Gary Cohn hit the wires around 22:30GMT.

    The pair tumbled from 106.18 (AUS) to as low as 105.56 on broad-based active yen buying due to renewed market jitters of escalating trade tensions (as Cohn resigned due to dispute with Trump over trade tariffs), however, short covering later lifted dlr to 105.86 (yesterday's low, now res - pretty technical reaction) before retreating.

    Expect range trading above 105.46 ahead of European open n pay attention to reaction by European traders on the Cohn' news.
    For now, offers are tipped at 105.85/90 with stops above 106.00, bids are noted at 105.50-40 with stops below 105.25, however, there has been recent market chatter of option defence at 105.00 (this level may be a tough nut to crack this week) with stops reported below 105.00.

    U.S. will release a slew of eco. data and the most important one is ADP private payrolls at 13:15GMT, then trade balance, labor costs, non-farm productivity and lastly, Fed Beige book. We also have 2 voting members of the FOMC officials speaking, first is out-going NY Fed's Dudley and then Atlanta Fed's Bostic.

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  9. #539
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    Smile AceTraderFx Mar 09: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    09 Mar 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.70.. In stark contrast to yesterday's narrow move in Asian morning, the pair jumped ahead of Tokyo open on media report North Korea will make commitment to stop nuclear tests and its leader Kim will meet with Trump and was then accepted.
    AS a result, dlr rallied easily above this week's 106.46 high to as high as 106.94 on broad-based yen selling due to return of 'risk appetite'.

    Today's rally above 106.46 (now sup) confirms an upside break of the 3-day long broad sideways swings have ended and further gain is likely to be seen, so trading the buck from long side is favoured.
    Bids have been raised to 106.65-55 and more below with some stops below 106.40.
    Offers are tipped at 107.00/20 with stops touted above 107.20.

    As time of writing, BoJ has stood pat on its rate and monetary policy decision as widely expected, so focus is Gov. Kuroda's press conference at 06:30GMT.
    After that, we have the blockbuster month U.S. jobs data, pay attention to NFP as well as average hourly way growth, if both readings beat street forecasts, then dlr will rally further, if they miss the estimate, then look for a decent dip to enter long position for another rise next week. T.G.I.F.

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  10. #540
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    Smile AceTraderFx Mar 13: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    13 Mar 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 106.40.. Dlr pares intra-day loss n inches higher from Asian low at 106.25. Despite staging a short-covering rebound from o/n New York low at 106.32 to 106.47 in Australia, short-term specs sold the pair on news that Japan FinMin Aso is considering to skip G20 meeting n knocked price 106.25.
    However, lack of follow-through selling helped price to edge higher at Tokyo open.

    Although intra-day recovery suggests range trading is in store ahead of European open, as market perceives present suspected gov't cronyism scandal is yen supportive, selling dlr on intra-day recovery is still the favoured strategy for a stronger retracement of upmove from March's low at 105.25.
    Offers are tipped at 106.50/60 with some stops above 106.75.
    Bids are noted at 106.25/15 and more below with stops below 106.00.

    After release of last Friday's U.S. robust payrolls but tepid wage growth which subsequently had market turning short on the greenback, pay attention to U.S. core CPI data, market consensus for Feb M/M inflation to be 0.2% vs previous reading of 0.3%, if actual figure comes in at 0.2% or higher, then the dlr will rise broadly, if it is below street forecast, then one can expect more usd selling.

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