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Thread: AceTraderFx May 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY AUD/USD

  1. #561
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    Smile AceTraderFx Apr 30: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    30 Apr 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.13.. Dlr moves narrowly in subdued Asian trading as financial markets in Japan and China are closed for holiday.

    Despite extending last week's winning streak to a fresh 10-week high of 109.54 at New York open, release of soft prelim. Q1 U.S. GDP prompted broad-based profit taking in the usd together with intra-day falling U.S. Treasury yields knocked the pair lower to 108.96, price later traded narrowly in New York afternoon.

    Friday's usd's broad-based decline in New York session and intra-day narrow move but with a soft undertone suggests consolidation with downside bias remains, for short term trade, selling dlr on recovery in anticipation of a further corrective fall is still favoured.
    However, day traders should buy the buck on dips.
    Order board is pretty light with offer at 109.20/30 and move above with stops above 109.55/60.
    Some bids are noted at 109.00-85 area and more below with stops below 108.50.

    U.S. will release of a slew of eco. data starting with Mar core CPI, personal income and spending, Chicago PMI, pending home sales n Dallas Fed mfg index.

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  2. #562
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 15: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    15 May 2018
    02:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.73.. In stark contrast to yesterday's weakness in Asian morning, the pair maintained a firm undertone and climbed above o/n New York high of 109.66 to 109.79 as rebound in U.S. yields (where the benchmark 10-year climbed above the 3% level) led to broad-based short covering in usd.

    Despite intra-day firmness, as it is our view dlr's recent volatile price action from May's 11-week peak at 110.04 is unfolding into a triangle, reckon intra-day upside would falter well below last Thursday's high (b-leg top) and yield another decline later today.
    Offers are tipped at 109.65/75 and more above with stops reported above 110.05/10.
    Bids are noted at 109.50-40 with stops below there.

    U.S. will release a slew of eco. data n the most important one for this week, Apr retail sales is due out at 12:30GMT together with NY Fed mfg index, then Redbook sales, bus inventories and NAHB housing index.
    If retail sales miss forecast of a 0.3% increase, then usd will come under renewed selling but if it turn out to be higher than expectation, then dlr will ratchet higher.
    Pay attention to speeches by Dallas Fed's Kaplan (non-voter) speech at 12:00GMT and then S. Francisco Fed's Williams (voter) at 17:10GMT.

    AceTrader - Best Intra-day Forex Trading Strategies
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  3. #563
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 17: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    17 May 2018
    03:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 110.18.. Despite initial firmness at Tokyo open due to rising U.S. yields where benchmark 10-year climbed marginally above yesterday's fresh 7-year high of 3.104% to 3.108%), usd's broad-based retreat knocked price from 110.39 to 110.08, suggesting further choppy trading below Tuesday's 3-month peak at 110.45 would continue.

    As long as yesterday's low at 110.04 (prev. May's high, now sup) holds, dlr's recent uptrend should resume after present choppy consolidation is over n buying on dips for intra-day n day trades are still favoured. Bids are noted at 110.10-00 with stops below there. Offers are tipped at 110.40/45 with stops reported above 110.50.

    U.S. will release a slew of eco. data later today starting with weekly jobless claims, Philly Fed survey and then leading indicator. We have several Fed officials making speeches today, pls refer to our EI page for details.


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  4. #564
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 18: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    18 May 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 110.94.. Dlr reigns supreme vs the interest -rate-sensitive Japanese yen n hits a fresh 3-1/2 month peak of 110.99 in Asian morning on Fri.

    Despite trading narrowly in Australia, the pair easily penetrated Thursday's high at 110.86 (New York) as U.S. benchmark 10-year yield popped higher again after Tokyo open (10-year rose above Thursday's fresh near 7-year high of 3.1224% to 3.1279%) and climbed to 110.99 and present firmness suggests price would flirt with 111.00 level soon but unless U.S. yields continue to move sharply higher, reckon minor res at 111.48 should cap upside.

    Therefore, whilst trading the greenback from long side is the way to go, profit should be taken on next leg of upmove as pre-weekend profit taking may occur later in New York session.
    Bids are noted at 110.80-70 with stops below 110.60.
    Offers are tipped at 111.00/10 with some stops touted above there.

    Although no U.S. eco. data is due out today, 3 prominent Fed officials will be speaking during the day, starting with Cleveland Fed President Mester (voter) at 07:00GMT in Frankfurt, then Dallas Fed's Kaplan (non-voter) at 13:15GMT n also at the same time but in a different place, Fed Board Gov. Brainard (voter).

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    Smile AceTraderFx May 21: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    21 May 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 111.00.. Dlr regains traction in Asian trading on Mon after retreating from Friday's 4-month high of 111.08 to 110.61 in New York morning due to falling U.S. yields. However, price opened higher to 110.98 in New Zealand (Friday's New York close was 110.74) as easing of U.S./China trade tension (see 23:52GMT news) boosted risk appetite and intra-day rebound in U.S. yields led to broad-based usd's strength, the pair later climbed to as high as 111.07.

    Intra-day firmness suggests price would head higher to 111.25/30 after consolidation, however, reckon minor daily res at 111.48 would hold on 1st testing.
    Bids are noted at 110.90-80 n more below with stops below 110.60.
    Offers are tipped at 111.05/10 with sine stop above there.

    U.S. eco. calendar is very light with Chicago Fed national activity index being the only data due out at 12:30GMT. We have 3 Fed officials speaking later in the day, starting with Atlanta Fed's Bostic (voter), then Philly Fed's Harker (non-voter) and Minneapolis Fed's Kashkari (non-voter) at 21:30GMT.

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  6. #566
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 24: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    24 May 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.61.. Dlr gained no respite in another hectic Asian morning on Thursday. Despite staging a rally from Wednesday's 1-week low of 109.56 (Europe) to as high as 110.32 due to renewed usd's strength in New York, the release of mildly dovish Fed minutes sent U.S. yields sharply lower, knocking the benchmark 10-year decisively below the 3% mark n the greenback fell broadly in New York afternoon.

    Dlr met renewed selling at 110.10 (AUS) and tumbled in Asian morning as U.S. yields continue its o/n fall, price penetrated 109.56 sup to intra-day low of 109.45 before stabilsing.
    The lack of a rebound ahead of Tokyo lunch session suggests decline from Monday's 4-month peak at 111.40 is likely to pressure the buck in early European trading but reckon daily sup at 109.15 would contain weakness.
    Offers are tipped at 109.75/85 and more above with stops above 110.00.
    Bids are noted at 109.45-40 and more below with stops reported below 109.10.

    U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting with weekly jobless claims, monthly home price, existing home sales n KC Fed mfg index. We have a number of Fed officials scheduled to speak later in the day, please refer to EI page for details.

    AceTrader - Best Intra-day Forex Trading Strategies
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    Smile AceTraderFx May 25: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    25 May 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.62.. In total stark contrast to yesterday's weakness in Asia, the greenback popped higher at Tokyo open as traders sold the yen broadly in delayed reaction to conciliatory (dovish) statement by North Korea to leave the door open for U.S./N. Korea summit meeting, the statements by KCNA were released in Australian morning (22:29GMT by Reuters).
    The pair subsequently rallied to 109.74 after tripping stops above 110.40 before easing.

    Looks like yesterday's 2-week trough at 108.96 (due to broad-based usd's weakness after Trump called off the U.S./N. Korea summit meeting) will hold from here, so choppy trading with near term upside bias is seen for a retracement of dlr's decline from Monday's 4-month peak at 111.40.
    Bids are noted at 109.45-35 and more below with stops below 109.10, more stops are reported below May's low at 108.65.

    Its's T.G.I.F. but we still have to some fairly important U.S. eco. data due out later in the day starting with durable goods order n then University of Michigan consumer confidence which will move the dlr. In addition, we have a number of Fed officials scheduled to speak during New York session (please refer to EI page for details), Fed chairman J. Powell will be speaking at a central bank conference organised by Riksbank in Stockholm at 13:20GMT, other central bankers will also be attending n speaking in the event.

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    Smile AceTraderFx May 28: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    28 May 2018
    03:15GMT


    USD/JPY - 109.44.. Dlr erased initial gain after climbing above Friday's New York high of 109.57 to 109.82 in New Zealand as weekend news which revived U.S/North Korea summit meeting hopes boosted risk sentiment which led to intra-day broad-based yen selling.
    However, lack of follow-through buying in early Asian trading led to retreat in the greenback as yen regained traction, price fell back to 109.32/33.

    Intra-day cross-inspired retreat from 109.83 suggests near term rise from last week's low at 108.96 (Thursday) has made a temp. top and sideways swings are in store and with London market closed for Spring Bank holiday and then the U.S. financial markets closed for Memorial Day holiday, range trading will be the order of the day.

    Offers are tipped at 109.75/85 with stops above 109.90.
    Bids are noted at 109.35/30 and more below with stop below 109.10, then more below 108.90.


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  9. #569
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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 01: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    01 Jun 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.05.. Despite trading narrowly initially in Asian morning, dlr jumped after BoJ surprised the market by cutting the size of its purchase in JGBs with more than 5 to 10 years left to maturity by 20 billion yen to 430 billion yen in its open market operation.

    The pair swiftly climbed above 109.00 after the BoJ news and hit 109.19 after tripping stops above 109.10, intra-day firmness suggests recent decline has made a temp. low at Tuesday's 5-week trough at 108.12 and stronger retracement to 109.30/40 is likely to be seen after consolidation.
    Therefore, for st trade, buying dlr on dips is favoured but profit should be taken ahead of key U.S. jobs report later today.
    For now, bids have been raised to 109.00-108.90 and more below with stops below 108.60.
    Offers are tipped at 109.20/30 with stops touted above 109.50.

    Today is the first trading day of a new month as well as the 1st Friday of June, so we have release of the blockbuster U.S. NFP as well as other jobs data including the important average hourly earnings, if readings of these 2 data beat forecast, then the greenback would strength across the board, however, if they miss estimate, then be prepared for a stronger retracement of recent usd uptrend after hitting a 6-month high of 95.025 (Tuesday).
    U.S. will also release Markit mfg PMI, then ISM mfg PMI n construction spending. Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari will be speaking at 12:55GMT and Dalls Fed President will speak after New York close at 00:30GMT (Saturday).

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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 04: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    04 Jun 2018
    03:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.63.. The pair maintained a firm undertone in fairly quiet trading in Asian morning after Friday's gain to 109.74 following release of robust U.S. jobs data.

    Despite initial flat open in Australia (New Zealand market is closed for holiday), rebound in U.S. yields triggered broad-based yen selling at Tokyo open n price quickly climbed to intra-day high at 109.77.
    However, dlr soon retreated due to lack of follow-through buying, suggesting range trading is in store ahead of European open.

    Dlr's strong rise from last Tuesday's 5-week trough at 108.12 suggests recent decline has made a temp. low there and consolidation with upside bias remains for further gain, so buying the pair on dips is still favoured.
    Bids have been raised to 109.55-45 with stops below 109.40.
    On the upside, offers are tipped at 109.75/80 and more above with stops touted above 110.00/05.

    After Friday's key U.S. jobs data, U.S. will release ISM New York index, April durable goods order and then factory goods order.

    AceTrader - Best Intra-day Forex Trading Strategies
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