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Thread: AceTraderFx May 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY AUD/USD

  1. #571
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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 05: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    05 Jun 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.85.. Dlr maintains a steady undertone in fairly subdued Asian trading after rising briefly above o/n New York high of 109.85 to a 10-day peak of 109.99, however, offers at 110.00 checked intra-day gain and the pair slipped back to 109.78.

    Yesterday's cross-inspired rise above last Friday's 109.74 high and then to 109.99 due to rising U.S. Treasury yields suggests the buck still has legs to climb above 110.00 level but near term loss of upward momentum is likely to prevent strong gain and reckon res at 110.32 would cap upside.
    Therefore, whilst buying the pair on dips is still recommended, profit should be taken on next leg of upside.
    Bids are noted at 109.75-70 and more below with stops below 109.35.
    Offers are tipped at 109.95/110.05 with stops touted ab0ve there.

    On the data front, U.S. will release Redbook retail sales, Markit services PMI, ISM non-mfg PMI n JOLTS job openings in New York morning.

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  2. #572
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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 08: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    08 Jun 2018
    03:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.76.. Dlr remained on the back foot in choppy European trading on Thursday and later tumbled from 110.09 ahead of New York open to as low as 109.49 in New York afternoon as sharp fall in U.S. yields (benchmark 10-year yield dropped from 2.9938% to 2.884%) led to broad-based yen buying.

    Although the pair staged a rebound to 109.85 in early Asian trading as U.S. yields recovered, as the decline from Wed's 2-week high at 110.26 to 109.49 yesterday signals recent cross-inspired upmove has made a top, consolidation with downside bias is seen as investors are expected to turn to safe-haven yen and the Swiss franc ahead of the 2-day G7 meeting in Canada later today where U.S. Trump will be fighting with other G7 leaders after imposing U.S. trade tariffs on steel and aluminium.
    Therefore, selling dlr (or buying the yen) on recovery is the way to go (our intra-day and daily strategies are both holding short positions).
    Offers are tipped at 109.85/95 with stops above 110.00, more stops are reported above 110.30.
    Some bids are noted at 109.60-50 with stops below 109.30.

    U.S. eco. calendar is very light with wholesale inventories and wholesale sales being the only 2nd-tier data due out at 14:00GMT, As mentioned above, all eyes are on the G7 esp. on wordings of the G7 communique.

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  3. #573
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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 11: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    11 Jun 2018
    03:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.68.. Dlr climbed in hectic Asian trading as fear of trade war after tense G7 meeting and U.S/Canada spat triggered safe-have buying of yen at New Zealand open, the pair initially fell to 109.23 before ratcheting higher, price later rose to 109.73 ahead of Tokyo lunch break on buying in eur/yen and gain to U.S. yields.

    Intra-day cross-inspired strg bounce suggests decline from last week's high at 110.26 (Wednesday) has made a temp. low at 109.20 on Friday and choppy sideways swings are in store, however, as long as res at 109.95 (Friday high) holds, consolidation with downside bias remains.
    Offers are tipped at 109.70/80 with stops above 109.90.
    Bids are noted at 109.0-20 with stop below there, more stops are touted below 109.00.

    No U.S. eco. data is due out as market is awaiting 2-day FOMC meeting on Tuesday and market is bracing for another quarter-point rate hike on Wednesday, so U.S. eco. data will be overlooked until rate decision is announced.

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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 13: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    13 Jun 2018
    03:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 110.58.. Dlr stands tall in Asian trading after climbing above yesterday's 110.49 high to a 3-week top of 110.61 due to usd's broad-based strength which began in New York session on Tuesday as investors were buying the greenback ahead of FOMC's rate decision where the Fed is expected to make another quarter-point rate hike at the end of its 2-day meeting at 18:00GMT.

    Although the Fed is widely expected to raise its key interest rate, usd will climb further if the accompanied statement and Fed's dot plot point to 2 more rate increases later this year. Also, if Fed Chairman J. Powell sounds hawkish at the post-FOMC press conference, dlr would climb further.
    For now, bids have been raised to 110.50-40 with stops below 110.10.
    Offers are tipped at 110.60/70 with stop above 110.80 and more above 111.00.

    Ahead of FOMC announcement, U.S. will release MBA mortgage applications, May final PPI and core May PPI.

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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 14: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -EUR/USD

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    14 Jun 2018
    03:00GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1793.. The single currency stand tall in subdued Asian trading following o/n impressive rally in post-FOMC New York from 1.1726 to 1.1801, then marginally higher to 1.1805 ahead of Asian open before easing on profit taking.

    As market has more or less brushed off Fed's widely rate hike and hawkish rate outlook for 2 more rate increased this year n all eyes are on today's special ECB's live meeting in Riga, Latvia where traders are awaiting QE exit (tapering) from the horse's (ECB President Draghi's) mouth, if he explicitly announcement QE tapering, then euro will rally, if not, the single currency will tank as market is going into the ECB meeting 'long'.
    For now, order book is pretty thin after FOMC, bids are noted at 1.1780-60 area and more below with stops touted below 1.1720.
    Offers are tipped at 1.1810/20 with stops reported above 1.1840/50.

    Ahead of ECB rate decision, we have Germany's final CPI and HICP n then France's CPI. French MinFin Le Maire will speak in Paris at 06:15GMT.

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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 15: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    15 Jun 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 110.56.. Dlr continues to trade in familiar territory but not so for other G7 counterparts where prices have moved one or 2 big figures lower vs the usd in Asia today as compared to their rates 24 hours ago as intra-day selloff in the eur/usd triggered broad-based usd buying in hectic New York trading.

    Despite extending decline from this week's 110.85 high (Wednesday) to session lows of 109.92 due to usd's weakness on falling U.S. Treasury yields in early European trading, renewed buying interest lifted the pair n subsequent eur/usd-led rally in post-ECB helped price to hit intra-day high at 110.69 before stabilising.

    Although yesterday's gain to 110.69 suggests pullback from Wednesday's 3-week peak at 110.85 has ended, safe-haven buying in the yen due to renewed U.S./China trade tensions (see early MMN) should prevent strong rise and reckon upside would falter below May's top at 111.40. Expect muted reaction to widely anticipated unchanged BoJ's rate n monetary policy decision where announcement usually comes during Tokyo lunch break as market awaits BoJ Governor post-BOJ meeting presser at 06:30GMT.
    For now, offers are tipped at 110.70/80 with stop above 110.85 and more above 111.00.
    Bids are noted at 110.50-40 and more below with stops reported below 109.90.

    T.G.I.F., U.S. will later release New York Fed mfg index, industrial prod., capacity utilization, mfg output and University of Michigan consumer confidence. Dallas Fed President Kapan will be speaking at 17:30GMT.

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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 19: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    19 Jun 2018
    03:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.88.. Although dlr traded narrowly in Australia after swinging sideways in subdued New York afternoon session on Monday, comment by Trump ahead of Tokyo open who had threatened to add another $ 200 bln of tariff on Chinese goods triggered broad-based buying of yen (the safe-haven Swiss franc also gained in tandem with yen), price fell from 110.58 (AUS) to 110.02 at Tokyo open.

    The pair then hit intra-day low of 109.80 after China said will 'fight back firmly' if U.S. published additional tariffs list.

    Dlr's intra-day break of Monday's 110.30 low to 109.80 confirms recent upmove has made a temp. top at yesterday's 3-week peak at 110.90 and choppy trading with downside bias is in store, so selling the pair on recovery for stronger correction to 109.48/52 is favoured.
    Offers have been lowered to 110.10/20 with some stops above 110.30.
    Bids are noted at 109.80-70 with stops below 109.45.

    On the data front, U.S. will release housing starts, building permits and Redbook sales. St Louis Fed President Bullard will speak at ECB Forum in Sintra, Portugal at 11:00GMT.

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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 20: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    20 Jun 2018
    02:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 110.09.. Dlr pares yesterday's selloff from 110.58 (AUS) to a 1-week low of 109.55 due to active safe-haven yen buying on escalation of U.S./China trade tensions, however, rebound in U.S. yields together with recovery in U.S. stocks helped price to stage a short-covering rose to 110.10 in New York afternoon, the pair later edged higher to 110.14 ahead of Tokyo open.

    Looks like said Tuesday's 109.55 low would hold from here n bring choppy sideways trading, however, market woe on global trade tensions should prevent strong gain, so dlr should find respite in Asia but if European stocks are in the black, another round of yen-buying may emerge and knock dlr lower.
    Offers are tipped at 110.10/20 with stops above 110.30, some bids are noted at 109.80-70 with stop reported below 109.50.

    U.S. eco. calendar is very light with existing home sales being the only data due out at 14:00GMT.
    Pay attention to speeches by Fed officials starting with Fed chairman J. Powell who will deliver speech at ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal at 13:30GMT, then St. Louis Fed's Bullard also at 13:30GMT.

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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 25: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    25 Jun 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 109.53.. Dlr opened lower below Friday's 109.80 low to 109.75 in New Zealand and quickly bounced back to 110.03. However, the pair tumbled at Tokyo open on WSJ report news report U.S. planned to limit Chinese investment in U.S. technology firms, the news led of broad-based safe-haven buying on renewed market jitters of U.S. protectionism, price penetrated 109.75 to 109.46 after tripping stops below last week's low at 109.55.

    Although price has stabilised ahead of Tokyo lunch break, the lack of intra-day short-covering rebound suggests sellers are 'in control', so selling dlr on recovery is the way to go and stops below daily sup at 109.20 are now in focus.
    Offers have been lowered to 109.75/85 n more above with stops above 110.00/05.

    U.S. will release a slew of second-tier data starting with building permits, Chicago Fed national activity index, new home sales and Dallas Fed mfg business index. BoJ member Sakurai will speak at an international forum in Italy at 12:15GMT.


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    Smile AceTraderFx Jul 04: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    04 Jul 2018
    03:10GMT

    USD/JPY - 110.34.. The pair remained on the back foot in Tokyo trading. Despite moving narrowly in Australia following yesterday's decline from a 5-week high of 111.14 to 110.51 (New York low), renewed selling emerged at 110.61 knocked price lower below said Tuesday's bottom, price hit intra-day low of 110.28 before stabilising.

    Some traders attributed to intra-day decline on falling U.S. yields as well as renewed usd's weakness in Asia following o/n decline in New York session, however, as broad outlook remains consolidation, steep fall is not envisaged.
    For now, bids are noted at 110.30-20 and more below with stops reported below 109.95.
    Offers are tipped at 110.50/60 with stops above 110.75.

    U.S. markets are closed for Independence Day holiday, so no U.S. eco. data is due out and trading may thin out near European close.

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