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Thread: AceTraderFx May 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY AUD/USD

  1. #611
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 13: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    13 Sept 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 111.38.. Dlr pared Wed's losses and rebounded to 111.45 in active trading on Thursday as Asian traders sold the Japanese yen broadly following broad-based gains in U.S. stocks and intra-day rise in Asian equities in reaction to overnight news of prospect of renewed U.S./China trade talk.

    Although the pair briefly recovered to 111.46 in New York morning after Wall Street Journal reported the United States is proposing a new round of trade talks with China, broad-based usd's weakness which began in New York morning after soft U.SD. PPI data later pressured price to session lows of 111.12. Intra-day cross-inspired gain to 111.45 suggests sideways swings are in store but expected usd's weakness vs other G7 counterparts should prevent further rise, so selling dlr on recovery is favoured.
    Offers are tipped at 111.45/55 with stops above 111.65.
    Some bids are noted at 111.20-10 with stops reported below 111.00.

    On the data front, U.S. will release CPI and core CPI data, weekly jobless claims, real weekly earnings and Federal budget.
    There will be 2 Fed officials presenting, Fed's Quarles and Atlanta Fed President Bostic later in the day.

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  2. #612
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 14: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    14 Sep 2018
    02:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 111.96.. Dlr pares initial gain after extending yesterday's rally above New York 111.99 high to a fresh 6-week peak of 112.08 at Tokyo open due to renewed yen-selling esp. vs usd, euro and sterling, however, profit taking quickly emerged and knocked price back down to 111.96, suggesting range trading is in store until European open.

    As Thursday's break of previous daily res at 111.83 confirms dlr's rise from August's 7-week bottom at 109.78 has finally resumed, price is en route to re-test Aug's top at 112.15 and stops are above there are now in focus, therefore, trading the greenback from long side for further headway to 112.45/50 later today is recommended.
    Bids are noted at 111.80-70 with stops below 111.65, offers are tipped at 112.10/15 with stops above there.

    The U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting with August retail sales, import and export prices, industrial prod., capacity utilization, mfg output, bus. inventories and last but not least University of Michigan consumer confidence, suggesting it would be a lively trading session in New York morning.
    Also we have Chicago Fed President Evans speaking at 13:00GMT.
    T.G.I.F.

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  3. #613
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 17: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    17 Sep 2018
    03:00GMT


    USD/JPY - 112.03.. Although dlr opened slightly lower from Friday's New York close of 112.04 at 111.94 following weekend Reuters news which came out Saturday, citing source from a senior U.S. administration official that Trump is likely to announce new tariffs on about $200 billion on Chinese imports as early as Monday.
    However, the pair quickly met renewed buying and rose to 112.12 in Asian morning, just below Friday's high at 112.17 (New York).

    Expect subdued trading in Asian morning as financial markets in Japan is closed for a national holiday and buying the pair on dips is still recommended after hitting a 7-week peak of 112.17 Friday, however, renewed U.S./China trade tensions ( WSJ reported earlier China may decline to attend trade talks due next week as Beijing won't negotiate under threat) would prevent strong gain in European morning.

    Order book is thin on Monday with bids noted at 111.95/00 and more below with stops reported below 111.70.
    Offers are tipped at 111.10/20 with stops above there. U.S. eco. calendar is very thin with New York September mfg index being the only data due out later today at 12:30GMT.

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  4. #614
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 20: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    20 Sep 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.26.. Dlr trades relatively narrowly in subdued Asian morning after retreating from Wednesday's 8-week high of 112.45 to 112.16 (New York).

    Despite resumption of recent cross-inspired upmove to 112.45 in Europe on renewed usd's strength due to ongoing U.S./China trade tensions n rising U.S. yields where benchmark 10-year yield hit fresh 4-month high of 3.09%, the price erased intra-day gain in New York and fell to session lows of 112.16 due to broad-based usd's retreat as investors shrugged off global trade concerns and unwound long usd positions.

    Looks like sideways trading below 112.45 would continue n marginal weakness can't be ruled out, reckon 112.00/05 would hold and yield another rise later today. Therefore, buying dlr on dips is cautiously favoured.
    Bids are noted at 112.20/10 with stops below 111.85.
    Offers are tipped at 112.35/45 with stops above 112.50.

    U.S. will release a slew of eco. data later today starting with weekly jobless claims, Philly Fed survey, existing home sales and leading indicator.

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  5. #615
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 24: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    24 Sep 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.60.. Although dlr fell at New Zealand open from 112.56 on risk aversion as short-term specs sold the pair in reaction to Saturday's WSJ report China had cancelled this week's trade talks with the U.S. and will not send vice-premier Liu He to Washington.
    Price hit intra-day low of 112.28 after tripping stops below 112.40, however, lack of follow-through selling quickly lifted dlr back to 112.63 in thin Asian morning.

    Many financial markets in Asia are closed today for Mid-Autumn festival whilst Japan is closed for Autumnal Equinox Day holiday, so range trading below Friday's 2-month peak at 112.87 is envisaged until European open, however, intra-day rebound signals pullback is over and anticipated usd's strength vs G4 currencies suggests buying dlr on dips for re-test of July's peak at 113.17 is favoured.
    Order book is very thin with bids noted at 112.40-30 with stops below 112.25.
    Offers are tipped at 112.70/80 with stops above 112.90.

    Later today, U.S. will release Chicago Fed national activity index at 12:30GMT and then Dallas Fed mfg business ndex at 14:30GMT. However, all eyes are on Wed's FOMC where the Fed is expected to hike its key rates by another 25 b.p. for the 3rd time this year.

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  6. #616
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 26: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    26 Sep 2018
    03:30GMT


    USD/JPY - 112.90.. Dlr pares initial gain after climbing above yesterday's 112.98 high to a fresh 2-month peak of 113.03 at Tokyo open, however, similar to yesterday's price action in Asia, price quickly retreated on profit taking n eased back to 112.89.

    Dlr's gain to 113.03 due partly on yesterday's rise in U.S. Treasury yields where benchmark 10-year hit fresh 6-month high of 3.113% (circa 3.0983) suggests re-test of key daily res at 113.17 (July's high) after consolidation n price is expected to maintain a biddish undertone ahead of FOMC announcement where the Fed is widely expected to raise its key rate by a quarter point for the 3rd time this year, traders will also pay attention to Fed's dot-plot (Summary of Economic Projections) by FOMC members on their eco. forecasts. Bids are noted at 112.85-75 with stops below 112.70.
    Offers are tipped at 113.00/10 with stops above 113.20.

    Ahead of key FOMC decision, U.S. will release building permits, new home sales, then FOMC decision at 18:00GMT n Fed Chair Powell post-FOMC press conference at 18:30GMT.

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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 27: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    27 Sep 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.86.. Dlr pares overnight loss in early Tokyo trading after falling from a fresh 2-month high of 113.13 to 112.63 in post-FOMC New York.

    Despite a brief climb to 113.13 after expected quarter-point rate hike by the Fed, broad-based usd's retreat the Fed after dropped a reference in its statement to the word "accommodative" knocked the pair to session lows of 112.63 as U.S. yields also dropped on this, however, dlr staged a minor recovery at Fed's J. Powell's post-FOMC presser when he said later said Fed's monetary policy was still accommodative.

    Intra-day rebound to 112.90 suggests 1st leg of correction is over and sideways swings are in store before prospect of one more fall to retrace recent cross-inspired upmove, therefore, intra-day players can sell dlr on recovery for another fall, day traders are recommended to buy dlr on next fall.
    Offers are tipped to 112.90/00 with stops reported above July's 113.17 peak.
    Bids are noted at 112.70-60 with stops below there, however, more buying interest is touted at 112.30-20.

    On the data front, U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting with weekly jobless claims, durable good orders, final Q2 GDP, trade balance, wholesale inventories, pending home sales asnd KC Fed mfg index, suggesting it will be lively trading session in New York.
    BOJ Gov. Kuroda will deliver a brief speech in Tokyo at 06:30GMT whilst Fed Chair J.
    Powell will give brief remarks on U.S. economy before an event with business leaders at 20:30GMT.

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  8. #618
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 28: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    28 Sep 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.56.. Dollar continued its winning streak and despite intra-day weakness to 112.56 in Europe on Thursday, price rallied in New York session due to broad-based strength due to upbeat U.S. data n selloff in eur/usd, the pair climbed to a near 9-month high of 113.46, then 113.64 in early Tokyo trading on intra-day firmness in the buck.

    Yesterday's resumption of recent upmove has just our recent bullishness on the dlr and price is en route to next chart obj. at 113.75, then 114.74 (217 November high) next week, therefore, buying the pair on dips is the way to go.
    Bids have been raised to 113.35-25 with stops below 112.90.
    Offers are tipped at 113.65/75 with stops above there.

    On the data front, U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting with personal income and spending, PCE, core PCE, Chicago PMI and University of Michigan consumer confidence. We also have Richmond Fed President speaking at 12:30GMT, then New York Fed President Williams at 20:45GMT.

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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 02: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    02 Oct 2018
    03:30GMT


    USD/JPY - 113.95.. Dlr climbed marginally higher to a fresh 10-1/2 month peak of 114.06 in New York morning as renewed usd's strength and rebound in U.S. treasury yields supported the pair.
    However, profit taking shortly after Tokyo open today pressured price to 113.83, suggesting range trading below 114.06 would be seen ahead of European open.

    As Monday's gain to 114.06 confirms recent upmove remains in force, outlook remains mildly bullish for further headway to 114.40/50 after consolidation, neverthewless, loss of momentum is expected to cap price below daily res at 114.74 (2017 Nov high).
    Bids are noted at 113.85-80 and more below with stops below 113.60.
    Offers are tipped at 114.05/10 with stops above there.

    On the data front, U.S. will release Redbook sales n ISM NY bus conditions index. Fed Vice Chair will speak at 14:00GMT, then Richmon Fed's Barkon at 16:00GMT, pay attention to Fed Chair J. Powell's speech at 16:45GMT and Dalls Fed's Kaplan at 18:00GMT.

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  10. #620
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 03: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    03 Oct 2018
    03:30GMT


    USD/JPY - 113.55.. Dlr remains on the back foot in relatively subdued Tokyo trading after yesterday's decline from 114.2 to 113.53 in New York due to intra-day safe-haven yen buying esp. vs eur and sterling as well as retreat in U.S. yields.

    Although intra-day marginal weakness to 113.52 on renewed cross-buying in yen suggests recent upmove has made a temp. top at Mn's 10-1/2 month peak at 114.06 n range trading is in store, anticipated broad-based usd's strength should limit downside n price is likely to resume recent upmove once present sideways consolidation is over.
    Bids are noted at 113.55-50 with stops reported below 113.30.
    Offers are tipped at 113.90/00 with stops above 114.10.

    On the data front, today is PMI day but pay attention to market-moving ADP private payrolls ahead of Fri's NFP, Markit services PMI and then mfg PMI.
    We also have a no. Fed officials deliver speeches today, please refer to our EI section for details and pay attention to Fed Chair J. Powell's speech at 20:00GMT in Washington D.C. where he will participate in discussion before an event.

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