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Thread: AceTraderFx May 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY AUD/USD

  1. #631
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 29: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    29 Oct 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 111.83.. Dlr moves narrowly in subdued Asian morning after rebounding from Friday's 5-week bottom of 111.38 to 112.09 in hectic New York trading.

    Despite Friday's resumption of last week's decline due to renewed weakness in global stocks, intra-day brief recovery in U.S. stocks triggered active cross-unwinding in recent long yen positions and lifted the pair to 112.09 before retreating as U.S. equities relinguished its short-lived gains (the Dow closed down just over 1% at 24688).

    U.S. S&P 500 mini futures are largely flat in Asia whilst Asian stocks are mixed (N225 up 0.5% but Chinese stocks are in the red), suggesting range trading is the order of the day.
    Bids are noted at 111.70-60 with stops below 111.30, offers are tipped at 112.05/10 with stop above 112.20.

    U.S. will release important Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditure for September core PCE, personal income n then Dallas Fed mfg business index. Also, we have Chicago Fed President Evans (non-voter) making opening remarks an event at 13:45GMT in Chicago.

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  2. #632
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 30: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    30 Oct 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.65.. Despite dlr's retreat from Monday's high of 112.56 to 112.19 in New York due to renewed weakness in the Dow after Bloomberg reported (see early update for details) Trump would impose another round of tariffs on China if his meeting with China's Xi in December fail to resolve the trade war, the pair regained traction in Asian morning as intra-day recovery in the Nikkie and Chinese stocks has triggered another bout of yen selling, suggesting near term upmove from Friday's 5-week low at 111.38 may head towards last week's high at 112.89 b4 prospect of another fall.

    Having said that, as dlr's said rebound from 111.38 is seen as a correction of decline from October's 114.55 peak, reckon upside would falter well below 113.00 and yield decline later this week.
    For now, bids are noted at 112.30-20 with stops below 112.00. Offers are tipped at 112.75/85 with stops above 113.00.

    On the eco. front, U.S. will release Redbook sales, CaseShiller home price and consumer confidence. Also, the BoJ starts its 2-day monetary policy meeting today.

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  3. #633
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 31: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    31 Oct 2018
    03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.21.. The greenback met renewed buying ahead of Tokyo open yesterday at 112.31 and climbed steadily in Asia as rebound in the Nikkei and Chinese stocks boosted risk sentiment. Price later rallied to a near 3-week high of 113.09 in New York after upbeat U.S. data as well gain in U.S. equities and rising Treasury yields, the pair met another boot of buying in Australia and hit a 3-week top of 113.33 in Asia due to broad-based gain in Asian equities.

    Yesterday's close above last week's 112.89 high bodes well for dlr to continue early upmove from Friday's 5-week low at 111.38 as such price action strongly suggests correction from October's near 11-month peak at 114.55 has ended, therefore, buying dlr on dips is recommended especially after the dlr's index rise to a 16-month high on Tuesday.
    Bids are noted at 113.05/00 n more below with stops below 112.65.
    Offers are tipped at 113.35/40 with some stops touted above there.

    The BoJ will end its 2-day monetary meeting n will make its rate decision n policy statement which usually comes during Tokyo lunch session, as usual, market does not expect the Central bank to do anything due to Japan's inflation remains anchored well below BoJ's 2% inflation target n today's very downbeat Japan's industrial production data suggests BoJ Gov. Kuroda will continue to sound dovish at his post-BoJ press conference at 06:30GMT.
    Today is the final trading day in Oct and U.S. will release MBA Mortgage applications, then key ADP private payrolls, Chicago PMI.

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  4. #634
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 01: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    01 Nov 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 112.92.. Despite dlr's resumption of near term upmove from Friday's 5-week trough at 111.38 to 113.33 initially at Tokyo open on Wed, then marginal gain to 113.39 at New York open on robust U.S. ADP private payrolls, profit taking emerged and price fell back to 112.81 near New York close.

    The pair remained on the back foot in Australia today and briefly fell to 112.72 in Asian morning due to broad-based usd's retreat triggered by intra-day jump in cable (see early updates for details), however, renewed buying soon emerged and lifted price to 112.95.

    As dlr's said strong rise from 111.38 to 113.39 signals recent decline from October's 114.55 peak has ended there, trading the pair from long side is recommended.
    Bids are noted at 112.75-70 with stops reported below 112.55.
    Offers are tipped at 113.10/20 with stops above 113.40.

    Ahead of Friday's key U.S. jobs data, U.S. will release initial weekly jobless claims, labor and productivity costs.
    Markit mfg PMI, construction spending and ISM mfg PMI.

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  5. #635
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 05: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    05 Nov 2018
    03:30GMT


    USD/JPY - 113.19.. The pair regained traction in Fri's trading n ratcheted higher from 112.56 (AUS) to 113.10 in European morning, then to session highs of 113.31 in post-NFP New York after robust U.S. jobs data.

    Friday's gain to 113.31 suggests re-test of last week's 113.39 (Wednesday) would be seen after consolidation due to renewed usd's broad-based strength, break there would encourage for gain to 113.52, then 113.75/80. Therefore, buying the greenback on dips is recommended.
    Bids are noted at 113.10-00 n more below with stops below 112.80-75.
    Offers are tipped at 113.30/40 with stops reported above there.

    The N. American market has pushed their clock backward by an hour on Sun, so European traders can enjoy a longer lunch break. Today is PMI day, U.S. will release Markit services PMI and then ISN non-mfg PMI.

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  6. #636
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 06: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    06 Nov 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.29.. The pair trades relatively narrowly in subdued Asian morning after yesterday's initial gain to 113.34 in Europe before retreating briefly to 113.08 in New York morning due to cross-unwinding in yen and usd's weakness.

    Although price has inched higher back to 113.32 in Asia as minor gains in U.S. stocks and intra-day 1% rise in the Nikkie has boosted risk sentiment, offers near last week's 113.39 high are likely to present strong buying ahead of U.S. midterm election today, so unless 113.39 res is penetrated, range trading is the order of the way and below 113.08 would yield stronger retracement to 112.75/80 later.
    Offers are tipped at 113.30/40 with stops above there whilst bids are noted at 113.10/00 with stops below there.

    On the eco. data, U.S. will release 3nd-teir Redbook sales and JOLTS job openings. So all eyes are on the latest U.S. midterm election results but they will only start coming in tom in Asian time.

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  7. #637
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 06: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    06 Nov 2018
    07:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.13... The greenback went through a roller-coaster session in Asia. Despite initial brief but sharp drop to 112.97 at Asian open on initial results of U.S. midterms b4 swiftly rallying to session highs at 113.82 in Asian morning.
    However, dlr met renewed selling there n retreated sharply to 113.00 at European open on usd's broad-based weakness due to a split in Congress as the Democrats have won control of House of Representatives whilst the Republicans expectedly kept their majority in the Senate.

    Looking past the elections, the Fed begins its 2-day FOMC meeting today.
    Offers are now seen at 113.30/40 n more above at 113.60/70 with stops building up above there whilst initial bids are noted at 112.60/70, suggesting choppy trading with downside bias is envisaged.

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  8. #638
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 08: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    08 Nov 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.60.. Despite yesterday's initial wild swings in Asian morning, then intra-day selloff from a 1-month high of 113.82 to 112.95 in Europe due to usd's broad-based weakness on market concern of a political gridlock in Washington, the greenback later regained traction in New York session as U.S. stocks and treasury rose, the pair climbed back to 113.60 near the close and then marginally higher to 113.69 in Asian morning.

    Intra-day firmness in Asia suggests pullback from said yesterday's 113.82 high has ended n recent erratic upmove is likely to head higher after consolidation, reckon 114.09 would cap upside and yield another later today. So whilst buying on dips for intra-day trade is favoured, profit should be taken on next leg of upmove as usd's strength may be temporary and market focus is on FOMC statement at 19:00GMT even though no rate hike is expected.
    Bids are noted at 113.50-40 with stops below 113.20.
    Offers are tipped at 113.80/90 with stops abv 114.10.

    The only eco. data due out before FOMC announcement is weekly initial jobless claims.

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  9. #639
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 09: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views - USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    09 Nov 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.89.. Despite yesterday's rally to a 1-month high of 114.09 in post-FOMC New York after hawkish Fed's guidance in the accompanied FOMC statement, the greenback falls in early Asian trading due to intra-day safe-haven yen buying on broad-based decline in Asian equities, suggesting choppy trading below 114.09 would be seen until European open.

    Having said that, as Thursday's break of 113.852 (Wed) to 114.09 due to renewed broad-based usd's strength plus rising U.S. treasury yields suggests re-test of Oct's near 11-month peak at 114.55 is on the cards, one should buy the pair on pullback in anticipation of such a move.
    Bids are noted at 113.80-70 with stops below 113.50.
    Offers are tipped at 114.00/10 and more above with stops above 114.60.

    On the eco. dat front, pay attention to release of U.S. PPI n core PPI, University of Michigan consumer confidence, wholesale inventories n wholesale trades. Fed officials are giving public speechs after the Federal Reserve blackout periods today, pls refer to our EI section for details.

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  10. #640
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 14: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views - USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    14 Nov 2018
    03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 113.94.. Despite yesterday's initial rally from 113.58 (Asia) to 114.15 in Europe due to broad-based yen-selling on rebound in Chinese stocks, price pared intra-day gain and fell back to 113.74 in late New York trade due to falling U.S. yields and weakness in U.S. stocks.

    As the pair has staged a rebound at Tokyo open n climbed to 113.99, suggesting consolidation with upside bias is in store and above 114.15 would bring re-test of Mon's 5-week high at 114.21, break there would encourage for subsequent headway toward 2018 peak at 114.55 (October high).
    Bids are noted at 113.80-70 with stops reported below 113.50.
    On the upside, offers are tipped at 114.00/10 with stops above 114.25.

    U.S. will release key Oct CPI data, core CPI, weekly earning and Redbook sales later today. Ded Board Gov Quarles (voter) will testify before the House Financial Services Committee at 15:00GMT. Fed Chair J. Powell will speak in Dallas but it'll be in early Asia Thur at 23:00GMT.

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