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Thread: AceTraderFx May 8: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY AUD/USD

  1. #691
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    Smile AceTraderFx Jun 28: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 28 Jun 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.61.. Despite staging a strong rebound from Tuesday's fresh 5-1/2 month bottom at 107.61 as optimism of a U.S.-China trade truce triggered broad-based yen selling, dlr hit 108.16 shortly after European open on Thursday and later retreated to 107.68 in New York morning on waning market optimism of a break through in U.S.-China trade talk at Saturday's Trump-Xi meeting on the sideline of G20 Osaka summit.

    As dlr's rally from 106.79 has run out of steam yesterday, intra-day break of 107.68 suggests at least the 1st leg of correction has ended and consolidation with downside bias is expected.
    Offers have been lowered to 107.80/85 with stops above 108.20.
    Some bids are noted at 107.45-35 with stops below there.

    Pay attention to some key U.S. eco. data later today ahead of Trump-Xi's meeting on Sat, U.S. will release core PCE, PCE, producer prices, personal income, personal spending, Chicago PMI and University of Michigan consumer confidence. S. Franciso Fed President Daly will be speaking at an event at 19:20GMT.

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  2. #692
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    Smile AceTraderFx July 02: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 02 Jul 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 108.41.. Dlr regains traction in Asian trading on Tue due to broad-based usd's strength in New York session on Monday as gains in global stocks due to market optimism after U.S. n China agreed to restart trade talks boosted risk sentiment, triggering active selling of safe-haven yen, Swiss franc and gold.

    Despite intra-day retreat from European 11-day high of 108.53 to 108.23 due to selling of eur/yen cross, decent U.S. eco. data lifted price to 108.48 but price later moved back to 108.28 in Australia on Tuesday before renewed buying at Tokyo open pushed price back up to 108.46. Expect sideways swings before upmove from last week's 5-1/2 month bottom at 106.79 extends marginal gain, loss of upward momentum is likely to cap price at 108.80.
    For now, bids are noted at 108.30-20 with stops below 108.00.
    While offers are tipped at 108.50/55 and more above with stops reported above 108.80 (June high).

    Later today, U.S. will release Redbook retail sales and ISM New York business conditions index. Also, NY Fed governor Williams will be speaking at 10:35GMT and then Cleveland Feds Loretta will participate in a financial seminar in London at 15:00GMT.

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  3. #693
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    Smile AceTraderFx July 05: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 05 Jul 2019 03:30GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.85.. Dlr moved relatively narrowly in lackluster Thursday's session after early decline from Monday's 108.53 high to 107.54 Wednesday.

    Look at the bigger picture, as said fall signals correction from June's 5-1/2 month bottom at 106.79 has possibly ended, a daily close below 107.25 (61.8% r from 106.79) would add credence to this view and yield further weakness to 107.06/10 especially if today's key U.S. payrolls come out much lower then market forecast of an increase of 160K (prev. month' s reading was 75K) following release of weak ADP private payrolls on Wednesday.
    Expect range trading above 107.54 to continue ahead of release of U.S. NFP, offers are tipped at 107.85/90 with stops above 108.00.
    Bids are noted at 107.70-60 with stops below 107.50.

    BOJ Deputy Governor Amamiya will speak at a Reuters Newmaker event around 03:30GMT.
    T.G.I.F., and on the data front, U.S. will release a slew of eco. data on top of the month blockbuster non-farm payrolls report, please refer to our EI section for details.

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  4. #694
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    Smile AceTraderFx July 08: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 08 Jul 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 108.44.. Dlr moves narrowly in relatively subdued Asian trading on Mon following Friday's rally to a 2-week high of 108.63 after release of much stronger-than-expected U.S. payrolls, however, traders refrained from buying the usd aggressively due to tepid average wage growth.

    Although the pair showed muted reaction to BOJ Kuroda's mildly upbeat comments on Japan's economy earlier when he spoke at regional branch managers' quarterly meeting, broad-based usd's strength in post-NFP New York suggests price is en route to re-test Jun's high at 108.80 after consolidation.
    Bids are noted at 108.40-30 with stops below 108.10 whole offers are tipped at 108.55/60 with stops touted above 108.80.

    After Friday's blockbuster U.S. NFP, no economic data is due out today in the U.S. and market is bracing itself for more big moves when Fed's Chair J. Powell testifies for 2 days on the Semiannual Monetary Report to Congress this Wednesday.

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    Smile AceTraderFx July 10: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 10 Jul 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 108.90.. Although dlr retreated from Tuesday's near 3-week high of 108.96 (Europe) to 108.74 in New York morning on profit taking and trading broadly sideways in subdued New York afternoon, the pair regained traction at Tokyo open n climbed to 108.98 due to renewed usd's strength before easing.

    Dlr's intra-day marginal gain suggests recent upmove remains in progress n would head to daily target at 109.15 after consolidation, loss of momentum would prevent strong gain in Europe and risk has increased for a minor correction ahead of key event later today where Fed's chair J. Powell will present Fed's Semiannual Monetary Report to the Congress before the Senate Banking Committee and any dovish comments by him may send the greenback tumbling, however, on the flip side, if he reiterates the Fed's rate decision is data dependent, then dlr may briefly jump on that.
    For now, trading from the long side is preferred. Bids are noted at 108.75-70 with stops below 108.60.
    While offers are tipped at 109.00/05 with stops above 109.15/20.

    On the data front, U.S. will release MBA mortgage applications, wholesale inventories n then at 18:00GMT, the important FOMC minutes but this may have muted impact after J. Powell's testimony. We also have Fed's Geroge speaking in Helsinki at 04:50GMT, J. Powell's testimont at 14:00GMT, Fed's Bullard at 17:30GMT n also Fed's Quarles at the same time also.

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    Smile AceTraderFx July 11: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 11 Jul 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 108.01.. The greenback took centre stage in active Asian trading on Thur due to broad-based buying of yen following yesterday's selloff from a 1-month high of 108.99 (Asia) to 108.53 after release of dovish prepared testimony of J. Powell which boltered market expectation of an immediate rate cut at next Fed's meeting in Jul, price later weakened to 108.36 after release of dovish FOMC minutes.

    Dlr met renewed selling at 106.45 in Australian morning and penetrated said yesterday's low, intra-day decline continued in Asian morning n price tumbled to 107.99. As the selloff from 108.99 suggests upmove from June's 106.79 bottom has possibly ended, downside bias remains for further weakness towards 107.54 tomorrow or early next week, therefore, selling the buck on recovery is strongly recommended, current falling U.S. yields add credence to present bearish scenario.
    Offers have been lowered to 108.25/35 with stops above 108.50, some bids are noted above 107.95-90 with stops below 107.80.

    On the data front, U.S. will release core CPI, CPI and Fed's budget. Pay attention to Fed J. Powell's second day on Capital Hill at 14:00GMT as well as speeches by a number of other Fed officials afterwards (see our EI section for details).

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    Smile AceTraderFx Jul 12: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 12 Jul 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 108.41.. Despite extending decline from Wednesday's 1-month high of 108.99 to 107.86 in Asian morning yesterday, the greenback caught a bid in New York session n rallied to as high as 108.52 due to broad-based usd's rebound after release of stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data together with rising treasury yields (benchmark 10-year rose from 2.037% to as high as 2.15%).

    The pair extended Thursday's gain to 108.60 ahead of Tokyo open before easing after meeting selling interest from Japanese names (exporters). Although Thursday's upbeat U.S. CPI has dampened market expectations of aggressive rate cuts by the Fed, bearish bias on USD remains as Fed J. Powell repeated his dovish comments in his 2nd testimony on Capital Hill yesterday, suggesting a strong likelihood of a 25 b.p. rate reduction at July's FOMC meeting, therefore, 108.99 top should hold from here. For now, offers are tipped at 108.60/70 and more above with stops reported above 109.00.
    Bids are noted at 108.30-20 with stops below 108.00.

    T.G.I.F., on the data front, U.S. will later release PPI final, core PI final n export price. We also have Chicago Fed President Evans speaking at a financial forum in Chicago ar 14:00GMT.

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    Smile AceTraderFx July 16: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 16 Jul 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.95.. Although the pair did not benefit from USD's broad-based gain vs its G7 peers and New York session yesterday after release of upbeat U.S. Empire State mfg index due to renewed cross-buying in yen, price caught a bid at Tokyo open and briefly jumped to 108.09, suggesting choppy sideways trading above last week's low at 107.81 (Friday) would continue.

    Having said that, as dlr's decline from July's 108.99 high suggests recent upmove has made a top there, price is en route to re-test July's 107.54 bottom after present choppy consolidation is over, however, loss of downward momentum should keep dlr above 107.06.
    Offers are tipped at 108.10/15 with some stops above 108.25, bids are noted at 107.85-80 with stops below 107.70.

    The U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting with import n export price, retail sales, Redbook sales, industrial production, capacity utilization, mfg output, business inventories and NAHB housing market index. Therefore, one can expect dlr to move after these data come out. We also have a number of Fed officials speaking during U.S. session, please refer to our EI section for details.

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    Smile AceTraderFx July 18: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 18 Jul 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.67.. The greenback remained under pressure in Australia following yesterday's decline from 108.32 to 107.95 in New York session as a sharp fall in U.S. Treasury yields (benchmark 10-year yield dropped from 2.11% to 2.043%) led to broad-based usd selling.

    Dollar fell initially to 107.88 before a minor recovery but only to meet renewed selling at Tokyo open on broad-based yen buying, the pair penetrated last week's 107.81 (Friday) low to 107.65 after tripping stops below 107.80, suggesting re-test of July's 107.54 bottom is on the cards, however, recon 107.06/10 would hold today.
    Offers have been lowered to 107.85/90 and more above with stops above 108.15 while a mixture of bids and stops is reported at 107.55-50.

    U.S. will release a slew of eco. data starting with weekly jobless claims, Philly Fed business index and then leading indicators. Also we have Atlanta Fed President Bostic and New York Fed President Williams speaking at 13:30GMT n 18:15GMT respectively in New York session.

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    Smile AceTraderFx July 22: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today -USD/JPY

    Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
    Update Time: 22 Jul 2019 03:00GMT

    USD/JPY - 107.97.. Dlr remains on the front foot in Asian trading on Monday after Friday's intra-day gain to 107.96 due to broad-based usd's strength. Price opened around 107.78 in New Zealand and renewed buying at 107.71 pushed price to 108.06 in Asia partly on cross-selling in yen.

    The rally from last Thursday's 3-week trough at 107.22 suggests recent erratic decline from July's 108.99 peak has made a low there and consolidation with upside bias is seen for at least a strong retracement of this move to daily target at 108.15, loss of momentum is likely to limit upside to 108.37.
    Bids have been raised to 107.80-70 with stops below 107.50 while offers are tipped at 108.30/40 with stops above there.

    U.S. economic calendar is very light today with Chicago national activity index for July being the only data due out at 12:30GMT, so order flows will have a strong impact on intra-day price swings. BOJ Governor Kuroda will deliver a speech at an IMF event in Washington DC at 15:00GMT.

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