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  1. #241
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 30: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 30 Oct 2017 05:12 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1604
    Euro's firm break of previous Oct's 1.1670 low (now res) to a fresh 3-month trough at 1.1575 on Friday due to market jitters on Catalan independence declaration confirms recent decline from 1.2093 (September) has once again resumed and subsequent rebound in New York would bring consolidation before heading to 1.1540/50, loss of momentum would keep price above 1.1512.

    Only a daily close above 1.1670 signals temporary low is in place, however, reckon 1.1726/30 would cap subsequent recovery and yield another fall.

    The euro area countries will release a slew of eco. data starting with Germany's retail sales, EU's business climate, eco., industrial and services sentiment and consumer confidence.

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  2. #242
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 02: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 02 Nov 2017 09:22 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1635
    Despite euro's intra-day sideways swings following early retreat from 1.1661 (Tuesday) to 1.1607 in New York yesterday, as this move signals correction from last Friday's 3-month bottom at 1.1575 has possibly ended, consolidation is seen before recent downtrend resumes tomorrow, below 1.1604/07 would extend weakness to 1.1540/50, loss of downward momentum would keep price above 1.1512.

    On the upside, only a daily close above 1.1670 (previous sup, now res) would risk stronger retracement to 1.1600 but 1.1726/30 should remain intact.

    Data to be released on Thursday:
    Australia trade balance, imports, exports, building permits, Japan consumer confidence.
    Swiss consumer confidence, retail sales, Italy Markit manufacturing PMI, France Markit manufacturing PMI, Germany Markit manufacturing PMI, unemployment change, unemployment rate, EU Markit manufacturing PMI, U.K. Markit construction PMI, Bank of England MPC vote hike, Bank of England MPC vote unchanged, Bank of England MPC vote cut, Bank of England interest rate decision, Bank of England QE total, Bank of England QE corporation bond purchases.
    U.S. initial jobless claims, nonfarm productivity, ISM New York index.

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  3. #243
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 09: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 09 Nov 2017 05:20 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1592
    Although euro's rebound from Tuesday's fresh 3-month trough at 1.1554 suggests recent downtrend has made a temporary low, as 1.1611 has capped yesterday's rebound, consolidation with downside bias is retained, below 1.1570/75 would bring one more fall but 'loss of downward momentum' should keep price above 1.1512.

    A daily close above 1.1624 res would risk stronger retracement to 1.1660/70, however, reckon res at 1.1691 should cap upside and yield retreat.

    News to be released on Thursday:
    New Zealand interest rate decision, Japan trade balance, current account, machinery orders, tertiary industry index, eco watchers outlook, eco watchers current.
    U.K. RICS housing survey, China PPI, CPI, Swiss unemployment rate, Germany exports, imports, trade balance, current account, Canada new housing price index and U.S. initial jobless claims, wholesale inventories, wholesale sales.

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  4. #244
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 13: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 13 Nov 2017 03:00 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1650
    Euro's erratic rise to 1.1678 last Friday due to renewed usd's weakness suggests recent decline from 1.2093 (September) has made a temporary low at Tuesday's fresh 3-month trough at 1.1554 and subsequent retreat would bring consolidation before marginal gain towards next chart obj. at 1.1691, loss of upward momentum would cap price below 1.1726 and yield decline.

    On the downside, below 1.1616 (previous res, now sup) signals 1st leg of correction is over and may risk weakness to 1.1579/81.

    Similar to the U.S., no eco. data is due out from the euro area countries, however, ECB's Vice President Constancio will make a speech in Frankfurt at 09:00GMT.

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    Last edited by AceTraderFX; 11-12-2017 at 10:47 PM.

  5. #245
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 16: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 16 Nov 2017 05:20 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1783
    Despite yesterday's resumption of recent upmove to a 3-week peak of 1.1861 in New York morning, subsequent retreat to 1.1789 due to broad-based usd's short covering in New York afternoon and then intra-day weakness to 1.1769 in Australia today suggests temporary top has been made and 1-2 days of broad consolidation is seen before recent rise from November's 3-month bottom at 1.3554 resumes.

    As long as 1.1726 holds, upside bias remains for another bounce to 1.1830/40 but 1.1861 would cap upside and only a daily close below 1.1691 risks stronger retracement to 1.1691 b4 prospect of rebound.

    Euro area countries will release a slew of eco. data starting with Italy's trade balance n then EU CPI data.
    Pay attention to speeches by ECB's Jazbec at 08:00GMT, ECB's Mersch at 08:45GMT, ECB's Praet at 11:00GMT, ECB's Villeroy at 14:30GMT and ECB's VP Constancio at 20:00GMT.

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  6. #246
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 23: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 23 Nov 2017 06:00 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1818
    Yesterday's anticipated rally to 1.1827 due to broad-based usd's weakness after dovish FOMC minutes suggests correction from last week's high at 1.1861 has ended at 1.1714 (Tuesday) and re-test of said temporary high is envisaged after consolidation, break would encourage for subsequent headway to 1.1880 (October high).

    On the downside, only below 1.1773 would prolong choppy sideways trading and may risk stronger retracement to 1.1733/36 before prospect of another bounce.

    Today is PMI day and euro area countries will release a slew of eco. data starting with Germany's GDP, France's bus. climate, Markit mfg and services PMIs, then the same from Germany and the EU plus Italy's trade balance.

    Pay attention to release of ECB's minutes at 12:30GMT, before that, ECB's Chief Economist Praet will speak at a conference in Luxembourg at 08:35GMT and later ECB's Board member Coeure will speak in Paris.

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  7. #247
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 27: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 27 Nov 2017 05:30 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1923
    Euro's impressive rally on Friday above October's 1.1880 high (now sup) to a 2-month peak of 1.1944 suggests recent strong upmove would head to 1.980/90 after consolidation, loss of near term upward momentum is likely to cap price below 1.2000 and risk has increased for a much-needed minor retracement to take place.

    On the downside, expect 1.1880 to hold and yield subsequent rise and only below there confirms temporary top is made, risks stronger correction towards 1.1837.

    EZ eco. calendar is pretty light with Italy's business and consumer confidence bring the only data due out.
    There is an EU Foreign Affairs Council meeting today and ECB's Vice President Constancio will participate in a panel discussion in FFT at 11:15GMT.

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  8. #248
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    Smile AceTraderFx Nov 28: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 28 Nov 2017 05:30 GMT


    EUR/USD - 1.1905
    Despite yesterday's resumption of recent strong upmove to a fresh 2-month peak of 1.1961 in New York morning, subsequent stronger-than-expected decline to 1.1891 near Monday's close suggests temporary top has been made and 1-2 days of consolidation is in store.

    As long as 1.1861 (previous res, now sup) holds, re-test of 1.1961 is envisaged but reckon 1.2005 should cap upside. Below 1.1861 may risk stronger correction towards 1.1937 before prospect of rebound.

    Germany will release Gfk consumer confidence and import prices, then France's consumer confidence during European morning.

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  9. #249
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    Smile AceTraderFx Dec 07: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 07 Dec 2017 06:00 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1794
    Yesterday's firm break of 1.1800 to a near 2-week low at 1.1781 due to broad-based usd's strength suggests decline from Nov's 2-month peak at 1.1961 would extend weakness to 1.1757 after consolidation, however, loss of downward momentum should keep price above daily sup at 1.1714 .

    On the upside, above 1.1848 anytime would signal aforesaid fall has made a low, then risk is seen for subsequent headway towards 1.1877/78.

    The euro area counties will release a slew of eco. data starting with Germany's industrial output, France's current account, trade bal., imports n exports n lastly EU's GDP. ECB President Draghi will hold a news conference on Basel banking reforms in FFT at 15:00GMT n then will participate in a press conference at 16:00GMT.

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  10. #250
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    Smile AceTraderFx Dec 13: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 13 Dec 2017 05:50 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1747
    Despite euro's intra-day recovery after yesterday's resumption of recent decline to a 3-week trough of 1.1718, as long as 1.1764/65 (previous sup, now res) holds, outlook remains mildly bearish for test of next daily sup at 1.1714, loss of downward momentum would keep price above 1.1678 and bring correction.

    A daily close above 1.1793 signals decline from 1.1961 (November) has made a low and risk stronger gain to 1.1812/14, then 1.1848.

    Euro area countries will release a slew of eco. data starting with Germany's final CPI data for November and wholesale price, then Italy's industrial production, then the same from the EU and employment data.

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