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  1. #291
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 24: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 24 Sept 2018 06:30 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1747
    Despite continuing its recent winning streak to a fresh 3-month peak of 1.1803 in Europe, as intra-day selloff in sterling has led to broad-based usd's strength in New York morning and knocked price to 1.1733, suggesting recent upmove has made a temporary top and 1-2 days of consolidation with downside bias is seen, below 1.1733 would bring stronger retracement to 1.1590/00.

    Only above 1.1803 would extend marginal gain, however, loss of upward momentum should cap price below key daily res at 1.1852 today and yield correction.

    Pay attention to release of key German Ifo business climate and current conditions data, if bussiness sentiment forecast comes in weaker than forecast (103.2 vs previous reading of 103.80), euro will come another round of selling or long liquidation.

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  2. #292
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 26: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 26 Sept 2018 06:00 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1764
    Despite yesterday's intra-day erratic rise from 1.1732 (Asia) to 1.1793 in New York morning, subsequent retreat in New York afternoon due to broad-based usd's rebound suggests choppy trading below Monday's 3-month peak at 1.1815 would continue ahead of FOMC rate decision, below 1.1724 would bring stronger retracement of recent upmove to 1.1680/90.

    On the upside, only above 1.1815 would extend recent rise towrds key daily res at 1.1852, however, loss of upward momentum suggests this res may hold on 1st testing.

    On the data front, the only eco. data due out from euro area countries is France's consumer confidence.
    Pay attention to speech by ECB's Mersh and Smets at a conference in Brussels at 07:00GMT, then ECB's Draghi will appear at a ceremony with a short speech in Berlin at 12:00GMT.

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  3. #293
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Sept 28: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 28 Sept 2018 05:30 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1641
    Yesterday's anticipated break of previous 1.1724/26 sup (now res) to a 9-day low of 1.1639 (New York), then 1.133 today confirms euro's early upmove from August's 13-month bottom at 1.1301 has made a top at Mon's 3-1/2 month peak at 1.1815 and downside bias remains for further further weakness after consolidation, oversold condition should keep price above 1.1565/70 and bring rebound next week.

    On the upside, only above 1.1685 signals at least the 1st leg of correction is over and risks stronger retracement towards 1.1724.

    Eco. calendar in the euro area countries is pretty heavy on this last trading day in September, please refer to our EI section for details.
    Also we have ECB's Lane speaking at 11:30GMT in London and then ECB's Chief Economist Praet at 12:35GMT in Frankfurt.

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  4. #294
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 02: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 02 Oct 2018 05:30 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1576
    Yesterday's resumption of decline from last Monday's 3-1/2 month peak of 1.1815 to a 2-1/2 week low at 1.1564 suggests marginal weakness would be seen after consolidation, however, loss of downward momentum should keep price above key sup at 1.1526 (September's bottom) and bring a much-needed correction later.

    On the upside, a daily close above 1.1629 signals temporary low is made and yield stronger gain to 1.1651, however, reckon 1.1685 would cap upside.

    The euro countries' eco. calendar is pretty light with EU PPI being the only data due out. However, we have ECB Galhau speaking in Paris at 14:30GMT.
    There is EU Eco. and Financial Affairs Council meeting (ECOFIN) today which starts at 09:00GMT and ECB VP de Guindos will participate.

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  5. #295
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 05: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 05 Oct 2018 05:30 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1510
    Despite extending recent decline to a fresh 6-week trough of 1.1464 initially in Asia yesterday, intra-day cable-led rebound in European morning, then subsequent rally to 1.1543 in New York morning suggests temporary low has been made and choppy sideways swings with upside bias is seen ahead of release of key U.S. jobs data.

    As long as 1.1480/90 holds, stronger retracement to 1.1570 is envisaged, however, reckon res at 1.1594 should cap present rebound.
    Below 1.1480 would yield marginal weakness, however, 'loss of downward momentum' would limit downside to 1.1420/30 today.

    Ahead of U.S. payrolls data, euro area countries will release a slew of eco. data during European morning, pls refer to our EI section for details.

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  6. #296
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 08: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 08 Oct 2018 05:30 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1525
    Despite intra-day wild swings following release of downbeat U.S. jobs report, euro's brief jump to 1.1550 in New York morning suggests recent decline from 1.1815 (September's high) has made a temporary low at last Thursday's 6-week trough at 1.1464 and upside bias remains for further gain after consolidation.
    However, reckon previous res at 1.1594 should cap present rise.

    On the downside, only a firm break of 1.1484 (New York low) signals correction is over and yields one more fall to 1.1430/40 before prospect of a stronger retracement.

    On the eco. dat front, Germany will kick off with industrial production for Aug n then followed by EU's Sentix investor confidence index. ECB Board member Nowotny will be speaking at an event in Vienna at 16:00GMT.

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  7. #297
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 12: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 12 Oct 2018 05:00 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1597
    As euro has risen again in Asia today after intra-day brief but strong retreat from Thursday's 9-day high of 1.1599 to 1.1546 in New York, suggesting 'erratic' upmove from Tuesday's fresh 7-week trough at 1.1432 would head to 1.1629 after consolidation, loss of upward momentum is likely to cap price below 1.1651 today.

    On the downside, a firm break of 1.1546 would be the 1st signal first leg of correction from 1.1432 over and risks stronger retracement to 1.1515 but 1.1480 should remain intact.

    On the data front, Germany will release final CPI n HICP, the EU's industrial production. G20 FinMin and EU cenbank governors are attending the 2-day IMF World Forum in Bali.

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  8. #298
    AceTraderFX is offline Senior Member
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    Smile AceTraderFx Oct 16: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

    DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
    Update Time: 16 Oct 2018 05:30 GMT

    EUR/USD - 1.1585
    Although yesterday's rally in Europe due to broad-based usd's weakness and then gain to session highs of 1.1606 in New York morning on downbeat U.S. retail sales suggests pullback from Fri's 10-day high at 1.1610 has ended and recent upmove from last Tuesday's 7-week trough at 1.1432 would extend marginal gain, 'loss of upward momentum' would cap euro below res at 1.1651.

    On the downside, below 1.1535 (Fri low) signals correction from 1.1432 has ended and would yield weakness towards 1.1480 later this week.

    Data to be released later on Tuesday:
    Germany import price, ZEW economic sentiment, ZEW current conditions, Italy industrial orders, industrial sales, CPI, CPI (EU norm), trade balance, UK ILO unemployment rate, employment change, average weekly earnings, DCLG house price index, EU trade balance.
    U.S. PCE, redbook, industrial production, capacity utilization, manufacturing output, JOLTS job openings, NAHB housing market index.

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