Let 6 Forex Management.com show you how to use the COT reports to predict Forex Market movements.
Before examining the COT reports and a few ways of using them, let us note two important details:
• One of the major problems with the forex market is the lack of a volume indicator. Since there is no forex exchange such as the Nikkei or the NYSE, volume statistics on the entire market are not available. The COT report, tracking the currency and commodity futures allocations of the major speculators and commercial hedgers, is an excellent substitute for the volume indicator, and it should therefore be an inseparable item of any technical trading scheme.
• The other point which we would like to emphasize is the lagged nature of the report. As it updates us on positions of the past week, it is a lot more valuable as a long-term indicator, with periods of weeks, rather than days being the field of its measurements.
The COT (commitment of traders) is a report issued by CFTC to update the public on the futures positioning of traders in commodities markets. In the US most futures trading takes place in Chicago and New York, and the institutions covered by the report are heavily concentrated in these locations.
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