Thread: FXPRIMUS | [Sharing] Forex Technical Analysis

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GBP/USD Weekly Outlook 30 januari 2012






GBP / USD 's rebound from 1.5234 up to the price the price of 1.5740 last week and GBP / USD lost some momentum reversal in the price of 1.5527 resistance, further increases are expected for the price of 1.5779 resistance. The rally will occur further to 1.6165 as resistance to price, the price of 1.5779 is the first resistance (R1) followed by the price support (S1) 1.5527, 1.5527 price breakdown will show the completion of rebound from 1.5234 and back to the downside for retesting 1.5234 price is.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.3503 is treated as a price correction for long-term downtrend from 2.1161 price. In fact, we judged that the correction is completed well in three waves in the price of 1.6746, or five waves as a triangle in the price of 1.6165. Further decline in prices is to support the 1.4229 support. Meanwhile, a strong rebound in prices or price 1.6165 1.4229 permeable and will extend the consolidation which is a rebound from 1.3503.

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EUR / USD 's rebound from 1.2625 to 1.3233 last week's price and there are no signs of forming peaks. In this week if the price is trading above 38.2% retracement of 1.4246 to 1.2625 sustainable in the price of 1.3244 would pave the way for the 61.8% retracement at 1.3627. But otherwise we will wait for a correction in the price of 1.3077 support and if successfully penetrated the possibility of going back to the downside for retesting the 1.2625 price.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.6039 price correction takes place as a pattern in the long term and ongoing. Fall from 1.4939 is the price of the foot of the pattern. It is difficult to anticipate the length of each leg of a complex corrective pattern, price action is likely to remain choppy. But the overall picture is still possible to fall more in price to 1.1875 support. In fact, if prices continued to rise and the price is trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.3653) will pave the way for a test at 1.4939 resistance level.
In the long term picture, EUR / USD turned into a long-term consolidation pattern since reaching 1.6039 in 2008. Consolidation is ongoing and we expect range trading to continue for some time between 1.1639 and 1.6039.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook 31 Januari 2012




Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5665; (P) 1.5703; (R1) 1.5764;
Prices for a while at 1.5740 and daily bias neutral (side way) for now. Price resistant 1.5779 followed by the price support 1.5527 , defecate / price breakdown of this support will be brought back to the downside for retesting price of 1.5234 . Meanwhile, the break / breakdown of the price of 1.5779 will bring further rally to 1.6165 resistance for the price.
In the bigger picture, rise from the price of 1.3503 is treated as a correction to the long-term price trend fell from 2.1161 . We assess that the correction is completed well in three waves in the price of 1.6746 , or five waves as a triangle in the price of 1.6165 . Deeper decline is to support the 1.4229 price support. Meanwhile, a strong rebound in the price of 1.4229 or the price of 1.6165 can be penetrated and will extend the consolidation which is a rebound from 1.3503 .
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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3122; (P) 1.3178 (R1) 1.3279;
success rates touched 1.3077 indicates that the upper limit of 38.2% while the retracement of 1.4246 to 1.2625 that is the price at 1.3244 and daily bias neutral (side way) to this day. There is little focus on the price support 1.2931 . The decline is more likely to continue the test to the price of 1.2625 . Meanwhile, the price break or rupture resistance 1.3244 will pave the way towards 61.8% retracement of the price of 1.3627 .
In the bigger picture, falling prices of 1.6039 as a pattern of ongoing correction in the long term and ongoing. Prices fell from 1.4939 is the leg of the pattern. It is difficult to anticipate the length of each leg of a complex corrective pattern, price action is likely to remain choppy. But the overall picture is still possible to fall further to 1.1875 support prices. In fact, if prices continued to rise and the price is trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.3653 ) will pave the way for a test at 1.4939 resistance level.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook 1 Februari 2012




Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5664; (P) 1.5699; (R1) 1.5744;
GBP/USD's rise from 1.5234 resumes after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 1.5795 so far today. The break of 1.5779 resistance is taken as the first signal that whole decline from 1.6746 is completed at 1.5234. Intraday bias remains on the upside for the moment and further rally should be seen to 1.6165 key cluster resistance for confirmation (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 at 1.6168. On the downside, break of 1.5641 support is needed to signal short term bottoming. Or we'll stay cautiously bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 are treated as consolidations to long term down trend from 2.1161. At this point, we're favoring the case that such consolidation is either finished with three waves to 1.6746, or five waves as a triangle at 1.6165. Deeper decline is in favor to 1.4229 key support and decisive break there should extend the long term down trend through 1.3503 low. Meanwhile, strong rebound ahead of 1.4229, or a break of 1.6165, will dampen the immediate bearish view and extend the consolidation from 1.3503 instead.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3071; (P) 1.3147 (R1) 1.3219;
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Break of 1.2931 minor support will suggest that corrective rise from 1.2625 was already finished and the larger decline from 1.4939 is likely resuming for a new low below 1.2625. Meanwhile, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4246 to 1.2625 at 1.3244 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3627.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6039 are unfolding as a consolidation pattern in the long term and is in progress. Fall from 1.4939 is a falling leg inside the pattern. It's hard to anticipate the length of a leg of any complex corrective pattern. Also, price actions would likely remain choppy and indecisive with misleading momentum indicator readings. But after all, overall picture still favors deeper fall to 1.1875 support before the consolidation pattern completes. Though, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.3653) will pave the way for a test on 1.4939 resistance level.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5707; (P) 1.5751; (R1) 1.5805;
GBP/USD's rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday reaches as high as 1.5868 in early US session. As discussed before, the fall from 1.6746 might be finished at 1.5234 already. Further rise would be seen to 1.6165 key cluster resistance for confirmation (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 at 1.6168). On the downside, below 1.5706 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first before staging another rally.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 are treated as consolidations to long term down trend from 2.1161. At this point, we're favoring the case that such consolidation is either finished with three waves to 1.6746, or five waves as a triangle at 1.6165. Deeper decline is in favor to 1.4229 key support and decisive break there should extend the long term down trend through 1.3503 low. Meanwhile, strong rebound ahead of 1.4229, or a break of 1.6165, will dampen the immediate bearish view and extend the consolidation from 1.3503 instead.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook 2 Februari 2012



Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3010; (P) 1.3112 (R1) 1.3182;
EUR/USD rebounded strongly after hitting 4 hours 55 EMA but i staying below 1.3233 temporary top. Thus, intraday bias remains neutral. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4246 to 1.2625 at 1.3244 will resume the rebound from 1.2625 and target 61.8% retracement at 1.3627. On the downside, break of 1.2931 minor support will suggest that corrective rise from 1.2625 was already finished and the larger decline from 1.4939 is likely resuming for a new low below 1.2625.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6039 are unfolding as a consolidation pattern in the long term and is in progress. Fall from 1.4939 is a falling leg inside the pattern. It's hard to anticipate the length of a leg of any complex corrective pattern. Also, price actions would likely remain choppy and indecisive with misleading momentum indicator readings. But after all, overall picture still favors deeper fall to 1.1875 support before the consolidation pattern completes. Though, sustained trading above 55 weeks EMA (now at 1.3653) will pave the way for a test on 1.4939 resistance level.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook 7 Februari 2012





Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5759; (P) 1.5809; (R1) 1.5869;

GBP/USD dips further to 1.5729 so far today as consolidation from 1.5882 temporary top extends. More corrective trading would be seen. But again. near term outlook remains cautiously bullish with 1.5641 cluster support intact (38.2% retracement of 1.5234 to 1.5882). Above 1.5882 will target a test on 1.6165 key cluster resistance (61.8% retracement of 1.6746 to 1.5234 at 1.6168). Break will confirm that whole decline from 1.6746 has finished at 1.5234 already. On the downside, below 1.5641 support flip bias back to the downside for 1.5234 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3503 are treated as consolidations to long term down trend from 2.1161. At this point, we're favoring the case that such consolidation is either finished with three waves to 1.6746, or five waves as a triangle at 1.6165. Deeper decline is in favor to 1.4229 key support and decisive break there should extend the long term down trend through 1.3503 low. Meanwhile, strong rebound ahead of 1.4229, or a break of 1.6165, will dampen the immediate bearish view and extend the consolidation from 1.3503 instead.

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