TODAY`S FOREX MARKET OUTLOOK FROM ACETRADER
Wed, 11 Aug 2004 10:03GMT
Daily report
By AceTrader
http://www.acetrader.com

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EUR/USD - 1.2235
Update Time : 08:15GMT

Euro`s retreat from 1.2320 suggests a temporary top has been formed there and
consolidation with downside bias is seen for a retracement of upmove from 1.1968, however,
oversold condition should prevent steep fall and reckon 1.2120/25 would hold and yield
rebound.


INTRA-DAY EUR/YEN CROSS OUTLOOK - +135.85+
Update Time : 2004/08/11 09:00GMT

As euro has fallen after meeting renewed selling at 136.39, suggesting consolidation with
downside bias is seen but as this move is viewed as minor correction of recent upmove,
reckon 135.57 wud hold n yield rebound to 136.25/30.

Buy dips, stop below there, break wud signal temp. top has been formed n yield test of
135.20...

Rate: +135.85+

Strategy: +Hold long+
Position: +Long at 135.85+
Objective: 136.25
Stop-Loss: 135.55
Resistance:
136.58/137.00/137.39
Support: 135.57/135.20/135.00


DAILY NZD/USD OUTLOOK - +0.6485+
Update Time : 2004/08/11 09:58GMT

Although kiwi`s retreat fm 0.6567 indicates nr term downside bias remains for correction of
upmove to 0.6480/85, reckon 0.6450 wud contain weakness.

Venture long on dips for 0.6550 but abv said res is needed for 0.6590/95. Below 0.6440,
0.6412..

Rate: +0.6485+

Strategy: +Long at 0.6485+
Position: +Long at 0.6485+
Objective: 0.6550
Stop-Loss: 0.6445
Resistance:
0.6567/0.6620/0.6682
Support: 0.6480/0.6412/0.6365


SEP T-BOND FUTURES DAILY OUTLOOK - 110.12
Update Time : 2004/08/11 00:21GMT

Y`day`s selloff fm 111.04 indicates decline fm 112.00 has resumed n retrace. of recent
upmove to 109.30/00 is seen but 109.15 (prev. res) wud hold.

Hold short, stop as indicated, abv risks 110.28/30 but abv 111.04 needed to signal correction
over.

Rate: 110.12

Strategy: Short at 110.17
Position:

Objective: 110.00
Stop-Loss: 110.22
Resistance:
111.04/111.10/112.00
Support: 109.28/109.15/109.08



YESTERDAY`S RECOMMENDED TRADES

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD OUTLOOK - +1.2240+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 18:58GMT

As euro has retreated after early gain to 1.2320, suggesting intra-day top has possibly been
formed n consolidation with downside bias to 1.2235/40 is seen but reckon 1.2200/05 wud
remain intact n yield rebound later due to o/sold condition.

Sell at market with stop as indicated, abv wud signal recent upmove has resumed, 1.2235/40
1st...

Rate: +1.2240+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Short at 1.2277
Objective: 1.2240
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 1.2320/1.2351/1.2400
Support: 1.2245/1.2190/1.2121


INTRA-DAY EUR/USD OUTLOOK - +1.2300+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 13:56GMT

As euro has remained confined within nr term established range, suggesting further sideways
trading wud be seen, however, as long as 1.2263 holds, bullishness is seen for recent
upmove to resume for marginal gain twds 1.2310/15 b4 retreat.

Hold long with stop as indicated, only below 1.2245 wud confirm temp. top is made, risk
1.2210/15.

Rate: +1.2300+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Long at 1.2270
Objective: 1.2300
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 1.2317/1.2351/1.2400
Support: 1.2245/1.2190/1.2121


INTRA-DAY USD/YEN OUTLOOK - +111.40+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 18:57GMT

As dlr has penetrated 110.99, suggesting retrace. of recent fall fm 112.49 remains in force n
further gain to 111.45/50 is seen but 111.70/75 wud hold due to o/bot condition n bring
retreat later.

Buy at market with stop as indicated n take profit on such move, below wud signal temp. top
is made n yield 110.40/45...

Rate: +111.40+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Long at 111.05
Objective: +111.40+
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 111.47/111.69/111.90
Support: 110.65/110.42/110.14


INTRA-DAY USD/CHF OUTLOOK - +1.2595+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 18:50GMT

As dlr has risen strongly after marginal weakness to 1.2491, suggesting intra-day low is
made n consolidation with upside bias to retrace recent decline fm 1.2860 is under way n
gain to 1.2595/00 is seen but 1.2620/25 wud hold n bring retreat later.

Buy at market with stop as indicated, below wud risk re-test of 1.2491 sup...

Rate: +1.2595+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Long at 1.2555
Objective: 1.2595
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 1.2600/1.2686/1.2725
Support: 1.2493/1.2479/1.2436


INTRA-DAY USD/CHF OUTLOOK - +1.2500+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 14:13GMT

Similar to euro, dlr is expected to remain confined within nr term established range n as long
as 1.2550/55 holds, bearishness is seen for recent decline to resume for re-test of 1.2493,
below wud extend marginal weakness to 1.2470 `later`.

Hold short, stop 1.2555, break wud risk another corrective rebound to 1.2575/78 n possibly
1.2600..

Rate: +1.2500+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Short at 1.2540
Objective: 1.2500
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 1.2575/1.2600/1.2686
Support: 1.2493/1.2479/1.2436


INTRA-DAY GBP/USD OUTLOOK - +1.8310+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 18:49GMT

Cable`s present breach of 1.8240 suggests retrace. of recent rise fm 1.8085 remains in
progress n further weakness to 1.8305/10 is seen but 1.8270 sup shud remain intact due to
o/sold condition n bring rebound later.

Sell at market with stop as indicated, abv wud signal low is made, 1.8415/20...

Rate: +1.8310+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Short at 1.8352
Objective: 1.8310
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 1.8420/1.8445/1.8475
Support: 1.8305/1.8270/1.8201


INTRA-DAY EUR/YEN CROSS OUTLOOK - +136.35+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 14:03GMT

As recent upmove fm 132.86 remains in progress, suggesting further gain to indicated obj.
wud be seen, however, weakening of momentum wud prevent strg rise abv 136.60/65 n
reckon 137.00 wud cap upside n bring much-needed retreat.

Hold long, stop as indicated, only below 135.57 wud signal intra-day top is made, 135.20...

Rate: +136.35+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Long at 136.00
Objective: 136.35
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 136.70/137.00/137.39
Support: 135.90/135.57/135.20


DAILY EUR/YEN CROSS OUTLOOK - +136.20+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 13:40GMT

Euro`s rebound after finding renewed buying at 135.20 suggests recent upmove has resumed
n further gain twd 136.30/35 is envisaged, however, loss of momentum wud cap price below
daily res at 136.70 n risk fm there has increased for a correction.

Hold long with stop below there, break signals a temp. top is made n risks pullback to
134.80...

Rate: +136.20+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Long at 135.60
Objective: 136.20
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 136.32/136.70/137.02
Support: 135.53/135.20/134.42


INTRA-DAY EUR/GBP CROSS OUTLOOK - +0.6680+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 08:32GMT

As euro has traded narrowly after rebounding fm 0.6652, suggesting consolidation with
upside bias remains for recent rise fm 0.6580 to resume, bring further gain to indicated obj.
n then twds 0.6700 b4 retreat due to loss of momentum.

Hold long, stop as indicated, below risks stronger correction to 0.6635/40 b4 up.

Rate: +0.6680+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Long at 0.6660
Objective: 0.6680
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 0.6686/0.6700/0.6733
Support: 0.6652/0.6622/0.6591


DAILY EUR/GBP CROSS OUTLOOK - +0.6695+
Update Time : 2004/08/10 14:46GMT

Euro`s present firmness suggests as long as 0.6649 sup (prev. res) holds, upside bias
remains for early rally fm 0.6580 to retrace the fall fm 0.6733 to resume later twds 0.6700,
however, as broad outlook is consolidative, said res wud remain intact.

Hold long, stop at break-even, only below 0.6649 wud signal top is made n risk 0.6622 sup...

Rate: +0.6695+
Strategy: +Target met+
Position: Long at 0.6655
Objective: 0.6695
Stop-Loss:
Resistance: 0.6700/0.6733/0.6768
Support: 0.6676/0.6649/0.6622


AceTrader Performance Update
July 2004 (Pips)












Intraday



Daily
USD/YEN





+217





-31
EUR/USD





+509





+186
USD/CHF





+529





+499
GBP/USD





+752





+301

YTD 2004 (Pips)












Intraday



Daily
USD/YEN




+338




-31
EUR/USD





+2550



+1130
USD/CHF





+2421



+1001
GBP/USD




+2941



+548

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